AU - Geelong - Race 1

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

29.3K

VIEW

Verdict

AUTUMN CHARM (1) is a filly by The Autumn Sun who debuts for the Nick Ryan yard. She's jumped out well and Lane booked is a good lead. This doesn't look overly strong in the small field, suspect she'll take some beating first time out. MISTIFYZOU (4) battled away midfield on debut at Sandown Hillside and should be improved up slightly in trip. That race experience can count for plenty. VELOCITE BELLE (7) is a filly by Home Affairs on debut for the Freedman yard, wary for the top yard and she's had good early support. NOTHIN' SURER (6) is a Lucky Vega filly on debut for the Dwyer yard who can run well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	At debut, raced on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Sandown-Hillside 2yo Hcp on March 11 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Buggsy with 126lbs at $11. Rates as the one to beat. 1st Pick 5 Money Honey Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Andrew Bobbin J: Non Runner T: Andrew Bobbin	177	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis At debut, raced on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Sandown-Hillside 2yo Hcp on March 11 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Buggsy with 126lbs at $11. Rates as the one to beat.
1	Two-year-old filly (The Autumn Sun - Brulee) who was bought for AUD $ 220,000 (Inglis 2025 2025 Premier Yearling Sale). Nick Ryan has her ready for this with four recent trials leading in today's debut. Was runner-up in a jump-out at Flemington on March 13. Shows ability at the trials and this looks a nice race for her. 2nd Pick 1 Autumn Charm Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Nick Ryan J: Damian Lane T: Nick Ryan	86	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Two-year-old filly (The Autumn Sun - Brulee) who was bought for AUD $ 220,000 (Inglis 2025 2025 Premier Yearling Sale). Nick Ryan has her ready for this with four recent trials leading in today's debut. Was runner-up in a jump-out at Flemington on March 13. Shows ability at the trials and this looks a nice race for her.
4	Was at long odds at debut, 6th of 12 at Sandown-Hillside 2yo Hcp on March 11 over 5f, 5 len behind Buggsy with 126lbs at $31. Has upside and can figure. 3rd Pick 4 Mistifyzou Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Luke Currie T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	124	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Was at long odds at debut, 6th of 12 at Sandown-Hillside 2yo Hcp on March 11 over 5f, 5 len behind Buggsy with 126lbs at $31. Has upside and can figure.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.