AU - Geelong - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

7.2f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

22.2K

VIEW

Verdict

MISSION OF JOY (6) looks the one to beat. She ran a good race first up at Bendigo when getting into fourth and should come on nicely from that. She showed ability in two runs last time in and sets up nicely here from the gate. ICE QUAKE (4) made good improvement second up at Moe, chasing home a dominant winner into second. She'll kick up from the inside gate and prove hard to run down. GASOLINE RAINBOW (3) was okay fresh at Donald on heavy going when fifth, beaten six lengths. She showed some ability last time in and can strip fitter here. LYREBIRD LADY (5) has been going well enough in her first campaign and holds an each-way claim while XTRA STYLISH (10) was solid on debut here at big odds and should be right there again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Second run back. First-up after seven months made ground from midfield, 4th of 13 at Bendigo 3yo F Mdn-Sw on June 25 over 6 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Licentious with 126lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside Mdn-Sw on December 10 over 6f, 6 len behind Olivia Rose carrying 123lbs at $4. Profiles best for this, go close. 1st Pick 6 Mission Of Joy Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Harry Coffey T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	149	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months made ground from midfield, 4th of 13 at Bendigo 3yo F Mdn-Sw on June 25 over 6 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Licentious with 126lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside Mdn-Sw on December 10 over 6f, 6 len behind Olivia Rose carrying 123lbs at $4. Profiles best for this, go close.
4	Third-up today. First-up got back early 7th of 10 at Kilmore 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 5 ½f, slow going 10 len behind Dark Fox with 123lbs at $5. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 18 over 6f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Foxsky carrying 123lbs at $16. Sets up nicely and will take catching. 2nd Pick 4 Ice Quake Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Clayton Douglas J: Jamie Mott T: Clayton Douglas	113	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up got back early 7th of 10 at Kilmore 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 5 ½f, slow going 10 len behind Dark Fox with 123lbs at $5. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 18 over 6f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Foxsky carrying 123lbs at $16. Sets up nicely and will take catching.
3	Second-up. First-up after six months 5th of 14 at Donald Mdn-Sw on June 20 over 6 ¾f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Flying Khan with 127lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Terang 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 2 over 6f, 4 len behind Asakura with 123lbs at $15. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 3rd Pick 3 Gasoline Rainbow Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Symon Wilde J: Jack Hill T: Symon Wilde	118	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months 5th of 14 at Donald Mdn-Sw on June 20 over 6 ¾f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Flying Khan with 127lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Terang 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 2 over 6f, 4 len behind Asakura with 123lbs at $15. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.