AU - Flemington - Race 8

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

126.5K

VIEW

Verdict

STOLI BOLLI (12) looks well placed down in the weights. He's come back well, winning 2/3, just getting into a tricky spot at Mornington two back. He was dominant sitting off a strong tempo at Bendigo with 130lbs and drops to 120lbs here, with proven experience down the straight. DE BERGERAC (7) comes down from Sydney in solid form, finding the line well behind a progressive horse in Signor Tortoni at Randwick in a BM88 last start. He hasn't won for a while but is right up to this at his best and should be coming home well late. FANCIFY (6) resumes, now with the Ciaron Maher yard (formerly Michael Hickmott). She's never missed a place at 6f and goes well fresh. Keep safe if she's firm in betting. LOSESOMEWINMORE (8) struggled in the G3 Hawkes Stakes fresh but was kept safe in betting there and can improve quickly with great straight track form. POP AWARD (3) is a good little mare who should be thereabouts again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
12	Recent form sound. At the latest run won by 2.5 len at Bendigo Bm84 May 2 over 5 ½f defeating Winning Revolution carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 at Mornington Bm78 on April 18 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Celsius Star with 132lbs at $4.20. Gets in nicely here and is well fancied to win again. 1st Pick 12 Stoli Bolli Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	182	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run won by 2.5 len at Bendigo Bm84 May 2 over 5 ½f defeating Winning Revolution carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 at Mornington Bm78 on April 18 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Celsius Star with 132lbs at $4.20. Gets in nicely here and is well fancied to win again.
7	Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Randwick Bm88 on April 18 over 6f, 1.2 len behind Signor Tortoni carrying 133lbs at $10. The run before that 6th of 16 at Rosehill in the G3 St Kingdom on March 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Roselyn's Star with 117lbs at $10. Made headway last time. Big chance on latest effort. 2nd Pick 7 De Bergerac Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Craig Williams T: Grahame Begg	135	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Randwick Bm88 on April 18 over 6f, 1.2 len behind Signor Tortoni carrying 133lbs at $10. The run before that 6th of 16 at Rosehill in the G3 St Kingdom on March 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Roselyn's Star with 117lbs at $10. Made headway last time. Big chance on latest effort.
6	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign eighth of 14 at this track in the G3 Hkj Club Stakes November 4 over 7f, soft track, 4 len behind Dance To The Boom carrying 126lbs at $7.50. When resuming last campaign second of 13 at Morphettville in the LR Wh Wylie September 13 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind Watchme Win carrying 125lbs at $12. Can sprint well fresh and is certainly good enough on her day. 3rd Pick 6 Fancify Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Harry Coffey T: Ciaron Maher	109	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign eighth of 14 at this track in the G3 Hkj Club Stakes November 4 over 7f, soft track, 4 len behind Dance To The Boom carrying 126lbs at $7.50. When resuming last campaign second of 13 at Morphettville in the LR Wh Wylie September 13 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind Watchme Win carrying 125lbs at $12. Can sprint well fresh and is certainly good enough on her day.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).