AU - Flemington - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 7

120.8K

VIEW

Verdict

Tricky little sprint final. LOSESOMEWINMORE (1) looked awesome winning over this route two back when sweeping down the outside to beat DE BERGERAC (2) in fast time before that horse turned the tables back to 5 ½f last start. Losesomewinmore meets De Bergerac 4lbs better off for last time and up to 6f suits but potentially wants it a bit drier. VESTAS (7) is the interesting runner, now with Clayton Douglas. She hasn't quite delivered on some early promise but was an enormous run in G3 company first up at Caulfield last time in from a mile back. She's certainly up to these if right to go. NDOLA (3) resumes. Don't mind him fresh at 6f down the straight where he can let rip with his big turn of foot that he has off a moderate tempo. He'll be charging late. ROYAL INSIGNIA (6) wasn't far off stablemate De Bergerac last time and is in the mix again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 12 at this track Hcp on June 20 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind De Bergerac carrying 126lbs at $3.30. The race before that favourite, won by 2 len at this track LR Straight Six May 16 over 6f defeating De Bergerac carrying 123lbs at $15. Like him back out to 6f and the win two back was electric. 1st Pick 1 Losesomewinmore Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Richard & Chantelle Jolly J: Craig Williams T: Richard & Chantelle Jolly	211	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 12 at this track Hcp on June 20 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind De Bergerac carrying 126lbs at $3.30. The race before that favourite, won by 2 len at this track LR Straight Six May 16 over 6f defeating De Bergerac carrying 123lbs at $15. Like him back out to 6f and the win two back was electric.
2	Recent form sound. Most recently won by a long-neck at this track Hcp June 20 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Recommendation with 120lbs at $4.60. Before that 2nd of 14 at this track in the LR Straight Six on May 16 over 6f, 2 len behind Losesomewinmore carrying 123lbs at $2.90. Won key lead up latest and should go close again. 2nd Pick 2 De Bergerac Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Grahame Begg	198	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently won by a long-neck at this track Hcp June 20 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Recommendation with 120lbs at $4.60. Before that 2nd of 14 at this track in the LR Straight Six on May 16 over 6f, 2 len behind Losesomewinmore carrying 123lbs at $2.90. Won key lead up latest and should go close again.
7	Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation eighth of 12 at Caulfield in the G3 How Now November 15 over 6f, 4 len behind Proved with 121lbs at $3.60. First up last campaign third of 10 at Caulfield in the G3 Northwood Plume October 11 over 6f, 0.5 len behind She's Bulletproof carrying 123lbs at $10. Interesting runner who has the class to win this. 3rd Pick 7 Vestas Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Clayton Douglas J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Clayton Douglas	92	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation eighth of 12 at Caulfield in the G3 How Now November 15 over 6f, 4 len behind Proved with 121lbs at $3.60. First up last campaign third of 10 at Caulfield in the G3 Northwood Plume October 11 over 6f, 0.5 len behind She's Bulletproof carrying 123lbs at $10. Interesting runner who has the class to win this.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).