AU - Flemington - Race 4

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

12.4f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 7

138.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Cracking edition of the Mahogany Final and SUNSPRITE (13) looks a great chance. She started favourite against Decalogue in Sydney and hit the line well for third. Fancy she gets a lovely run from the gate here and she should eat up 1 ?/16m now. KINGS REFLECTION (14) had no hope here behind Decalogue off a slow speed but got home very well. If he can settle closer from the gate he'll take holding out. SIMPLY GOLD (10) split Decalogue & Sunsprite last time so must have claims but the gate/map are tough. RAINSUN (3) is the progressive one who beat a subsequent winner last time at Cranbourne, fancy he'll stay strongly and has plenty of upside - keep safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	On a three run winning streak. Most recently favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len at this track 3yo Qlty June 20 over 1 ¼m in the wet defeating Our Chief carrying 123lbs at $3.40. Before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.4 len at Randwick 3yo Bm72 June 6 over 1 ¼m in soft going defeating Simply Gold with 123lbs at $3.20. Well ridden but too good last time, sets the benchmark again. 1st Pick 1 Decalogue Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Non Runner T: Ciaron Maher	232	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis On a three run winning streak. Most recently favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len at this track 3yo Qlty June 20 over 1 ¼m in the wet defeating Our Chief carrying 123lbs at $3.40. Before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.4 len at Randwick 3yo Bm72 June 6 over 1 ¼m in soft going defeating Simply Gold with 123lbs at $3.20. Well ridden but too good last time, sets the benchmark again.
13	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 10 at Randwick 3yo Bm72 on June 6 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2 len behind Decalogue carrying 117lbs at $3.50. The start before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 11 at Randwick 3yo Bm72 (71) on May 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Agent Zero carrying 116lbs at $4.80. Sets up very well here, huge chance. 2nd Pick 13 Sunsprite Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Jett Stanley T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	99	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 10 at Randwick 3yo Bm72 on June 6 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2 len behind Decalogue carrying 117lbs at $3.50. The start before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 11 at Randwick 3yo Bm72 (71) on May 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Agent Zero carrying 116lbs at $4.80. Sets up very well here, huge chance.
14	Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 15 at this track 3yo Qlty on June 20 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Decalogue carrying 121lbs at $4.20. Before that 2nd of 14 at Swan Hill 0 - 62 on June 7 over 1m, on a slow track, head behind Meleys with 132lbs at $3. Tried hard last time and will be very hard to hold out. 3rd Pick 14 Kings Reflection Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Taige Weir J: Harry Coffey T: Taige Weir	103	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 15 at this track 3yo Qlty on June 20 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Decalogue carrying 121lbs at $4.20. Before that 2nd of 14 at Swan Hill 0 - 62 on June 7 over 1m, on a slow track, head behind Meleys with 132lbs at $3. Tried hard last time and will be very hard to hold out.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

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A racetrack made of grass.

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Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race