AU - Flemington - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

5.5f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

144.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Good betting race for the boys with Sydneysider PARADOXIUM (1) resuming. He won his first two starts impressively, winning the G2 Todman nicely first up last campaign. Didn't fire thereafter but loved his latest trial and 5 ½f looks ideal. Very wary of MBUBE (6) who made a big impression winning on debut at Sandown Hillside, coming from well off the pace with a booming close to win well. Has been trialling very nicely and will be charging home under Zahra. BIG SKY (3) resumes. Unbeaten in two runs over 5f, he was a one-time Blue Diamond favourite. He's jumped out well enough and has plenty of pace to get away with this. STEEL WILL (5) has been very good winning two runs in Sydney this time in. Back in trip but looks up to this. HARD KICK (2) won the G3 Vain last time but the form out of that race has been awful, just want to see him do it again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign sixth of 13 at Randwick in the G1 Sires Prod April 4 over 7f, soft track, 7 len behind Campione D'italia with 125lbs at $8. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.4 len Randwick G2 Todman March 7 over 6f defeating Stretan Ruler with 125lbs at $2.60. Fast 2yo who looks to have come back well, takes catching. 1st Pick 1 Paradoxium Jockey: Jason Collett Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Jason Collett T: Bjorn Baker	158	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign sixth of 13 at Randwick in the G1 Sires Prod April 4 over 7f, soft track, 7 len behind Campione D'italia with 125lbs at $8. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.4 len Randwick G2 Todman March 7 over 6f defeating Stretan Ruler with 125lbs at $2.60. Fast 2yo who looks to have come back well, takes catching.
6	Resuming after a break, only one run when settled well back, won by 1.5 len in a 2yo Hcp at Sandown-Hillside on June 13 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Stars Of Dom with 125lbs at $3.50. Big win on debut and will be charging home. 2nd Pick 6 Mbube Jockey: Mark Zahra Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell J: Mark Zahra T: Lloyd Kennewell	118	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Resuming after a break, only one run when settled well back, won by 1.5 len in a 2yo Hcp at Sandown-Hillside on June 13 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Stars Of Dom with 125lbs at $3.50. Big win on debut and will be charging home.
3	Won all to date. Resuming after a seven months break. Finished off last preparation winning won by 3 len Caulfield G3 Chairman's Stk January 31 over 5f defeating Invincible Son with 130lbs at $1.60. On debut favourite, won by 2.75 len this track 2yo Hcp January 17 over 5f defeating Mirador with 130lbs at $2.90. Speedy sort who should give a sight. 3rd Pick 3 Big Sky Jockey: Jordan Childs Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Jordan Childs T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	122	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Won all to date. Resuming after a seven months break. Finished off last preparation winning won by 3 len Caulfield G3 Chairman's Stk January 31 over 5f defeating Invincible Son with 130lbs at $1.60. On debut favourite, won by 2.75 len this track 2yo Hcp January 17 over 5f defeating Mirador with 130lbs at $2.90. Speedy sort who should give a sight.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.