AU - Flemington - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

5.5f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

144.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Great race for the fillies. The market hasn't exactly missed OVER EXCITED (14), a well-bred filly who ripped home in fast time on debut at Geelong, the sectionals there suggesting she was right up to stakes grade. She'll have to improve but profiles to do so and should be sweeping down the outside again. G1 Blue Diamond winner STREISAND (1) resumes. She hardly put a foot wrong in her 2yo season, very brave behind Guest House in the G1 Golden Slipper before an even effort in the Sires. Has the full penalty and bigger targets in the Spring but can win. SCINTILLATION (7) was game chasing Natural Fling last time who ran well in the G1 Moir against the older horses. She gets a nice run here and looks a big price. SATONO GLOW (2) resumes. She won very well here in the Autumn and looks a filly with some substance who will be charging home. I AM ARIA (10) boasts a 3rd to Streisand and did what she needed to do when winning the maiden fresh.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
14	Was well-supported at debut, won favourite, won by 1.75 len in a 3yo F Mdn-Sw at Geelong on August 28 over 5 ¾f on a soft track defeating Icelady carrying 126lbs at $3.30. Big win on debut and looks capable of measuring up. 1st Pick 14 Over Excited Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Damian Lane T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	133	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, won favourite, won by 1.75 len in a 3yo F Mdn-Sw at Geelong on August 28 over 5 ¾f on a soft track defeating Icelady carrying 126lbs at $3.30. Big win on debut and looks capable of measuring up.
1	Filly back from a spell of five-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation seventh of 13 at Randwick in the G1 Sires Prod April 4 over 7f, soft track, 7 len behind Campione D'italia with 120lbs at $3.30. When resuming last campaign fifth of 9 at Caulfield in the G3 Bd/Prev F January 24 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Rubi's Choice with 123lbs at $5. This is an ideal race to kick off. G1 winner, she'll have bigger targets but is still very well plac 2nd Pick 1 Streisand Jockey: Ben Melham Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald J: Ben Melham T: Clinton Mcdonald	150	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Filly back from a spell of five-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation seventh of 13 at Randwick in the G1 Sires Prod April 4 over 7f, soft track, 7 len behind Campione D'italia with 120lbs at $3.30. When resuming last campaign fifth of 9 at Caulfield in the G3 Bd/Prev F January 24 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Rubi's Choice with 123lbs at $5. This is an ideal race to kick off. G1 winner, she'll have bigger targets but is still very well plac
7	Third-up today. Resuming raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len in a 2yo Hcp at Randwick on July 25 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Suasion carrying 125lbs at $7.50. Last start 2nd of 16 in the G3 Quezette Stakes at Caulfield on August 15 over 5 ½f, slow going 4 len behind Natural Fling carrying 123lbs at $16. Chased a good one latest and looks a big chance here. 3rd Pick 7 Scintillation Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton J: Jamie Mott T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton	153	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len in a 2yo Hcp at Randwick on July 25 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Suasion carrying 125lbs at $7.50. Last start 2nd of 16 in the G3 Quezette Stakes at Caulfield on August 15 over 5 ½f, slow going 4 len behind Natural Fling carrying 123lbs at $16. Chased a good one latest and looks a big chance here.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.