AU - Flemington - Race 3

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

57.8K

VIEW

Verdict

LOVELYCUT (2) looks well placed third up. Both runs back have been good but she really caught the eye with a strong finish here last start to just miss by a long neck. 7f seems her best trip and a repeat effort goes a long way to winning. She finished ahead of MADIYYA (4) there who was first up and ran on well in her own right for a narrow fourth. Staying at 7f is a little niggle but she should come on from that and has always shown good ability. XARPO (3) tried hard at Bendigo last start but was just edged out by a nose. She's been largely consistent this time in and will be hard to run down again. MYSTIC WONDER (7) wasn't far away in G2 company last start and did win prior, have to respect.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 8th of 14 at Caulfield Bm78 on April 4 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Rue De Royale carrying 128lbs at $16. Last start 2nd of 15 at this track Bm78 on April 25 over 7f, long-neck behind Capper Thirtynine carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Big run last time and should go close. 1st Pick 2 Lovelycut Jockey: Luke Cartwright Trainer: Reece Goodwin J: Luke Cartwright T: Reece Goodwin	188	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 8th of 14 at Caulfield Bm78 on April 4 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Rue De Royale carrying 128lbs at $16. Last start 2nd of 15 at this track Bm78 on April 25 over 7f, long-neck behind Capper Thirtynine carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Big run last time and should go close.
4	Second-up. First-up after four months made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 15 at this track Bm78 on April 25 over 7f, 2 len behind Capper Thirtynine with 126lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Bm84 on December 13 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Electric Impulse with 119lbs at $2.60. Nice return, will be hard to hold out with added fitness. 2nd Pick 4 Madiyya Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Luke Currie T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	173	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 15 at this track Bm78 on April 25 over 7f, 2 len behind Capper Thirtynine with 126lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Bm84 on December 13 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Electric Impulse with 119lbs at $2.60. Nice return, will be hard to hold out with added fitness.
3	Last start rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 11 at Bendigo Bm84 on May 2 over 6 ½f, nose behind Quiseen with 116lbs at $5. Before that ran last of 9 at Caulfield F&M Bm74 on April 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Gold Coast Belle with 132lbs at $3.30. Nice effort last time. Racing well and should be right there. 3rd Pick 3 Xarpo Jockey: Ryan Houston Trainer: Simon Zahra J: Ryan Houston T: Simon Zahra	152	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Last start rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 11 at Bendigo Bm84 on May 2 over 6 ½f, nose behind Quiseen with 116lbs at $5. Before that ran last of 9 at Caulfield F&M Bm74 on April 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Gold Coast Belle with 132lbs at $3.30. Nice effort last time. Racing well and should be right there.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.