AU - Flemington - Race 3

Thoroughbred

21 Runners

9.9f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

211.1K

VIEW

Verdict

Key lead-up for Thursday's Oaks. ICELADY (1) brings the best last-start form having chased home stablemate Saintly Dancer in the G1 Thousand Guineas. She'd beaten that filly in the Prelude prior and 1 ¼m shouldn't be an issue off her latest run. Maps well and sets the standard. A lot of these come through the G3 Ethereal where DE ARMAS (3) closed off well for fourth in the Thousand Guineas and should have more to offer only fourth up. Getting to 1 ¼m should suit. The Waller pair of THARWA (11) and YOUR COLOUR (5) were the big eye-catchers in the Ethereal and look right on track for an Oaks. Neither draw well and likely get a fair way back but look out late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Racing well recently. Most recently raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 in the G1 Thousand Guineas at Caulfield on October 17 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Saintly Dancer with 123lbs at $11. The race before that won by 0.8 len in the G2 Thousand Guineas Prelude at Caulfield on September 19 over 7f defeating Saintly Dancer carrying 123lbs at $7.50. Brings the class form and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 1 Icelady Jockey: Mark Zahra Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Mark Zahra T: Ciaron Maher	224	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 in the G1 Thousand Guineas at Caulfield on October 17 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Saintly Dancer with 123lbs at $11. The race before that won by 0.8 len in the G2 Thousand Guineas Prelude at Caulfield on September 19 over 7f defeating Saintly Dancer carrying 123lbs at $7.50. Brings the class form and looks the one to beat.
10	Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 in a G3 Ethereal Stakes at Caulfield on October 17 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Quick Finish with 123lbs at $2.90. Before that favourite, won by 3.5 len in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on October 7 over 1 ¹/16m in soft going defeating Murshidi carrying 121lbs at $2.35. Respecting given her SP in the key lead up, can improve. 2nd Pick 10 Fringilla Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Non Runner T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	115	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 in a G3 Ethereal Stakes at Caulfield on October 17 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Quick Finish with 123lbs at $2.90. Before that favourite, won by 3.5 len in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on October 7 over 1 ¹/16m in soft going defeating Murshidi carrying 121lbs at $2.35. Respecting given her SP in the key lead up, can improve.
3	Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 12 in the G1 Thousand Guineas at Caulfield on October 17 over 1m, 3 len behind Saintly Dancer with 123lbs at $8.50. The race before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 in the G1 Flight Stakes at Randwick on October 3 over 1m, slow going long-neck behind Global Goal carrying 123lbs at $12. Should be suited up in trip now, big chance. 3rd Pick 3 De Armas Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Chris Waller J: Blake Shinn T: Chris Waller	207	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 12 in the G1 Thousand Guineas at Caulfield on October 17 over 1m, 3 len behind Saintly Dancer with 123lbs at $8.50. The race before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 in the G1 Flight Stakes at Randwick on October 3 over 1m, slow going long-neck behind Global Goal carrying 123lbs at $12. Should be suited up in trip now, big chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.