AU - Flemington - Race 2

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

126.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Tricky little race. The unbeaten HARRY LIME (13) looks a bit of value coming down from NSW. He's won both starts to date in solid style, posting good time from the front to win a Class 1 at Kembla Grange last start. Respecting the Waterhouse & Bott yard, he'll be rock-hard fit and hard to run down. UNIT FIVE (3) caught the eye with a big finish first up in the McNeil Stakes behind American Eagle. That race didn't rate particularly highly but he was first up and should be suited to this trip now. DIAMETER (2) stuck on well first up in the G3 Up And Coming Stakes at Rosehill with the big weight. Gets in much better here and any extra ground will only help. BIG WIGS (4) was the best closer in the G3 Vain Stakes fresh and looked like a horse who would get over more ground this time in. SOMETHINGS BURNIN' (12) was a moral beaten at the midweeks last time, respecting although this is tougher.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
13	Puts an unbeaten record on the line. When well in the market on debut, favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a nose in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Wyong on August 16 over 6f on a soft track defeating Beautiful You with 126lbs at $3. Last time out favourite, won by 1.0 len in a Cl1 at Kembla Grange on August 29 over 7f defeating Savvy Spy carrying 123lbs at $3.90. Progressive and profiles as if he'll measure up. 1st Pick 13 Harry Lime Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Jett Stanley T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	118	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Puts an unbeaten record on the line. When well in the market on debut, favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a nose in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Wyong on August 16 over 6f on a soft track defeating Beautiful You with 126lbs at $3. Last time out favourite, won by 1.0 len in a Cl1 at Kembla Grange on August 29 over 7f defeating Savvy Spy carrying 123lbs at $3.90. Progressive and profiles as if he'll measure up.
3	Second run back. First-up after seven months came from midfield, 2nd of 10 in the G3 HDF McNeil Stakes at Caulfield on August 29 over 6f, slow going head behind American Eagle carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up won by 1.1 len in the LR Magic Millions 2yo Classic at Gold Coast on January 17 over 6f defeating Tornado Valley carrying 126lbs at $8. Big run fresh, will take holding out. 2nd Pick 3 Unit Five Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Thomas Stockdale T: Ciaron Maher	222	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months came from midfield, 2nd of 10 in the G3 HDF McNeil Stakes at Caulfield on August 29 over 6f, slow going head behind American Eagle carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up won by 1.1 len in the LR Magic Millions 2yo Classic at Gold Coast on January 17 over 6f defeating Tornado Valley carrying 126lbs at $8. Big run fresh, will take holding out.
2	Second run back. First-up after four months 6th of 10 in the G3 Up and Coming Stakes at Rosehill on August 29 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Plagiarism carrying 134lbs at $26. Previously second-up 4th of 10 in the G2 VRC Sires' Produce Stakes at this track on March 7 over 7f, 2 len behind Grinzinger Heart carrying 126lbs at $17. Solid return and has the class to win this. 3rd Pick 2 Diameter Jockey: Jason Collett Trainer: Chris Waller J: Jason Collett T: Chris Waller	167	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 6th of 10 in the G3 Up and Coming Stakes at Rosehill on August 29 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Plagiarism carrying 134lbs at $26. Previously second-up 4th of 10 in the G2 VRC Sires' Produce Stakes at this track on March 7 over 7f, 2 len behind Grinzinger Heart carrying 126lbs at $17. Solid return and has the class to win this.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.