AU - Flemington - Race 2

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

168.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Hard to go past REGAL AMBITION (1) who comes through clearly the best form lines. She was awesome making a sustained run to win the Listed Jim Moloney two back which saw her start a firm favourite in the G1 Thousand Guineas. It was very hard to make ground that day so her effort to grab third was strong and getting to Flemington looks a huge positive. PIN UP SHEILA (4) is a progressive filly who hit the line strongly in the G3 Reginald Allen in Sydney last time out. Respecting that form with J-Mac booked. AFFARI (3) finally broke the maiden last time and did so dominantly. Prior to that she'd been beaten under a length by Barracks and that form has stood up fairly well in Melbourne. BLUE DREAM (12) was a real 'believe your eyes' win on debut at Kyneton, coming from a mile back to score. Looks talented and can progress. I AM ARIA (2) is racing well and should be thereabouts again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	At the latest run 3rd of 12 in the G1 Thousand Guineas at Caulfield on October 17 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Saintly Dancer carrying 123lbs at $3.70. The start before that favourite, won by 1.0 len in the LR Jim Moloney Stakes at Caulfield on September 27 over 7 ¼f defeating Pretty Baby carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Very good against pattern last time, clear ratings' edge back to this level. 1st Pick 1 Regal Ambition Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Michael Dee T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	198	-	-	-	46%
Analysis At the latest run 3rd of 12 in the G1 Thousand Guineas at Caulfield on October 17 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Saintly Dancer carrying 123lbs at $3.70. The start before that favourite, won by 1.0 len in the LR Jim Moloney Stakes at Caulfield on September 27 over 7 ¼f defeating Pretty Baby carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Very good against pattern last time, clear ratings' edge back to this level.
4	Third-up today. First-up 6th of 10 in a F&M Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Maluku carrying 128lbs at $3.10. Second-up raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 in the G3 Reginald Allen Quality at Randwick on October 17 over 7f, slow going 1.2 len behind Beyond The Reef carrying 129lbs at $4.20. Strong run last time and gets J-Mac from a nice gate. 2nd Pick 4 Pin Up Sheila Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton J: James Mcdonald T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton	192	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 6th of 10 in a F&M Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Maluku carrying 128lbs at $3.10. Second-up raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 in the G3 Reginald Allen Quality at Randwick on October 17 over 7f, slow going 1.2 len behind Beyond The Reef carrying 129lbs at $4.20. Strong run last time and gets J-Mac from a nice gate.
3	Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by 3.5 len in a Super 3yo Mdn-Sw at Rosehill on October 14 over 6f in soft going defeating Rain Delay with 122lbs at $1.70. The run before that 2nd in a small field in a 3yo Mdn at Rosehill on September 30 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Barracks with 126lbs at $1.90. Can go on with it now. 3rd Pick 3 Affari Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Chris Waller J: Craig Williams T: Chris Waller	99	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by 3.5 len in a Super 3yo Mdn-Sw at Rosehill on October 14 over 6f in soft going defeating Rain Delay with 122lbs at $1.70. The run before that 2nd in a small field in a 3yo Mdn at Rosehill on September 30 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Barracks with 126lbs at $1.90. Can go on with it now.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.