AU - Donald - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.1f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.9K

VIEW

Verdict

CHARLECOTE MILL (7) finished second at Hamilton two runs back but didn't measure up last time over 1m at Warracknabeal, finishing 4 lengths back in eighth. She looked a horse of some talent earlier in the year and while she is struggling to rediscover that form, this looks well within her grasp. THOUGHTFUL (2) finished third two runs back at Hamilton then improved last time out to score by a neck over 1m at Warracknabeal. Tom Madden scored on him last time and retains the mount, which looks a plus. TUDAYA (6) has been up for a while but is generally around the mark in this company. WHISTLER GIRL (10) has run improved races at her past two and is worthy of consideration again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Most recently eased back early on 8th of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Warracknabeal on August 15 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Thoughtful carrying 127lbs at $13. The run before that 2nd of 9 in a 0 - 56 at Hamilton on August 1 over 1m, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Vision Thing with 120lbs at $5. Capable of more - worth another chance. 1st Pick 7 Charlecote Mill Jockey: Jackie Beriman Trainer: Paul Koumis J: Jackie Beriman T: Paul Koumis	115	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently eased back early on 8th of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Warracknabeal on August 15 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Thoughtful carrying 127lbs at $13. The run before that 2nd of 9 in a 0 - 56 at Hamilton on August 1 over 1m, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Vision Thing with 120lbs at $5. Capable of more - worth another chance.
2	Form hard to fault. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a neck in a 0 - 56 at Warracknabeal on August 15 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Bruzani with 128lbs at $8.50. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 in a 0 - 56 at Hamilton on August 1 over 7f, on rain affected going, nose behind Unamerican carrying 128lbs at $4.40. Well placed. Back in form and can go on with it. 2nd Pick 2 Thoughtful Jockey: Tom Madden Trainer: Nell Carter J: Tom Madden T: Nell Carter	100	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a neck in a 0 - 56 at Warracknabeal on August 15 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Bruzani with 128lbs at $8.50. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 in a 0 - 56 at Hamilton on August 1 over 7f, on rain affected going, nose behind Unamerican carrying 128lbs at $4.40. Well placed. Back in form and can go on with it.
1	Comes off a 29 day let-up. Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading 11th of 14 in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 14 over 1 ¹/16m, on rain affected going, 12 len behind Deny Entry carrying 128lbs at $19. Before that won by 2.5 len in a Mdn-Sw at Echuca on July 24 over 1m in the wet defeating Harry Caviar carrying 131lbs at $1.80. Last start was a bit rich, so expect a better showing here. 3rd Pick 1 Colour Circle Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Brian Mcgrath J: Non Runner T: Brian Mcgrath	106	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Comes off a 29 day let-up. Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading 11th of 14 in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 14 over 1 ¹/16m, on rain affected going, 12 len behind Deny Entry carrying 128lbs at $19. Before that won by 2.5 len in a Mdn-Sw at Echuca on July 24 over 1m in the wet defeating Harry Caviar carrying 131lbs at $1.80. Last start was a bit rich, so expect a better showing here.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).