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38 Min Till Start

AU - Donald - Race 7

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
6.7f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
15.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VORES (11) might be ready to strike here after three runs back from a spell. Found only one better first up, which was on this track. Unplaced at the next two but wasn't beaten far last start in a race that looked a touch tougher than this. KIJIVU (5) ran fourth at his latest appearance over 6f at Casterton, finishing 5 lengths from the winner. Likely to be in the finish. BRUZANI (8) missed the placings when resuming two runs back then improved last start but found a couple better over 7 ¾f at Mt Gambier, beaten only 1.75 lengths. Nicely placed to play a pivotal role. TOES IN FIRST (6) hit the frame two starts ago at Mt Gambier but ran below par last time when 13th and beaten 21 lengths over 7 ¾f at Mt Gambier. Has his share of ability and can do a lot better.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Vores silk

At the latest run 5th of 12 at Echuca 0 - 56 on May 23 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Wallaby Jack with 127lbs at $6.50. The start before that 6th of 14 at Ararat F&M 0 - 56 on May 9 over 6 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Break The Taboo with 132lbs at $4.40. Ready to peak now after three runs back from a spell.

1st Pick
11

Vores

Jockey: Christine Puls

Trainer: Nell Carter

J: Christine Puls

T: Nell Carter

68---10%10/1

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 12 at Echuca 0 - 56 on May 23 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Wallaby Jack with 127lbs at $6.50. The start before that 6th of 14 at Ararat F&M 0 - 56 on May 9 over 6 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Break The Taboo with 132lbs at $4.40. Ready to peak now after three runs back from a spell.

5
Kijivu silk

Last start 4th of 11 at Casterton 0 - 56 on June 7 over 6f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Ambello with 131lbs at $6.50. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Horsham Cg&E Bm56 on May 19 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Shout Me carrying 131lbs at $3. Can atone.

2nd Pick
5

Kijivu

Jockey: Will Gordon

Trainer: Tom Dabernig

J: Will Gordon

T: Tom Dabernig

129---19%9/2

Analysis

Last start 4th of 11 at Casterton 0 - 56 on June 7 over 6f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Ambello with 131lbs at $6.50. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Horsham Cg&E Bm56 on May 19 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Shout Me carrying 131lbs at $3. Can atone.

3
Stargust silk

Second run back. First-up after five months sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at Hamilton 0 - 56 on May 26 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Port Louis with 131lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 10th of 14 at Werribee Bm56 on December 15 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Surprisatic carrying 133lbs at $31. Hard to beat.

3rd Pick
3

Stargust

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Joanne Mugavin

J: Non Runner

T: Joanne Mugavin

83---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at Hamilton 0 - 56 on May 26 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Port Louis with 131lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 10th of 14 at Werribee Bm56 on December 15 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Surprisatic carrying 133lbs at $31. Hard to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.