AU - Donald - Race 3

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

23.1K

VIEW

Verdict

DAMA ROYALE (5) resumes from a spell of five-and-a-half months and while she could only manage seventh at the latest run over 7f at Ballarat she was placed in a very strong metro maiden the start prior. Has had the benefit of two trials leading into this and should be ready to go. SNEAKY RUSSIAN (3) wasn't far away first up last start when fourth over 5f at Pakenham Synthetic. Will definitely appreciate the longer journey with that run under the belt and shapes as a genuine threat. BLUE VALENTINE (4) finished second, beaten 1.3 lengths, when resuming from a spell last start over 5 ?f at Wangaratta after she was in the firing line on the bend. Likely improver with strong prospects. MOLVENO (7) was terrible first up, but had trialled nicely before that and gets blinkers here, so might be worth another chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Finished off last campaign seventh of 13 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw April 3 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Ole Royale with 126lbs at $9.50. On debut third of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw January 3 over 5f, 0.6 len behind Blue Akoya carrying 123lbs at $3. Placed in much better races than this last time in, so this looks a good kick-off. 1st Pick 5 Dama Royale Jockey: Stephanie Hateley Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Stephanie Hateley T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	110	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Finished off last campaign seventh of 13 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw April 3 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Ole Royale with 126lbs at $9.50. On debut third of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw January 3 over 5f, 0.6 len behind Blue Akoya carrying 123lbs at $3. Placed in much better races than this last time in, so this looks a good kick-off.
3	Third race start. First start 5th of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Bairnsdale on March 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind I Said So carrying 130lbs at $21. Went for a spell before returning 4th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on August 24 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Sweet Kanzai with 131lbs at $21. Strips fitter and will be tough to beat up to this much more suitable trip. 2nd Pick 3 Sneaky Russian Jockey: Lachlan King Trainer: Reece Goodwin J: Lachlan King T: Reece Goodwin	152	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Third race start. First start 5th of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Bairnsdale on March 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind I Said So carrying 130lbs at $21. Went for a spell before returning 4th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on August 24 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Sweet Kanzai with 131lbs at $21. Strips fitter and will be tough to beat up to this much more suitable trip.
4	Second-up. First-up after four months set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Wangaratta on August 23 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Snitchy with 127lbs at $11. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on April 14 over 6f, 3 len behind Barryfrom Brunzwik with 126lbs at $18. Sure to run well. 3rd Pick 4 Blue Valentine Jockey: Toby Atkinson Trainer: Tyler Donaldson-Aitken J: Toby Atkinson T: Tyler Donaldson-Aitken	118	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Wangaratta on August 23 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Snitchy with 127lbs at $11. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on April 14 over 6f, 3 len behind Barryfrom Brunzwik with 126lbs at $18. Sure to run well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.