AU - Donald - Race 2

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

6.7f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

22.6K

VIEW

Verdict

FLYING CAPITAL (3) is yet to break through after three career starts. Managed to find the placings at Warrnambool two starts back before finishing fifth over 6f at Geelong last start. This looks the perfect race for this stage of the preparation. GASOLINE RAINBOW (11) hasn't raced since finishing 4 lengths back in fifth over 6f at Terang 5.5 months ago but will be fitter for a recent trial win. Great chance to break through. BRAZEN WARRIOR (2) returned from a lengthy spell to be beaten 3 lengths into fifth over 6f at Echuca last time and will be better for that so expect a better run, especially from the low draw. NGONGOTAHA (6) missed the frame on debut then improved last time when 2.25 lengths away in third over 6f at Bairnsdale. Backmarker who gets home hard. Gets his chance to break through.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Last start 5th of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on June 4 over 6f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Bold Secret with 131lbs at $5.50. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Warrnambool 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 7 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.25 len behind Atomova with 131lbs at $3. This looks the ideal assignment. 1st Pick 3 Flying Capital Jockey: Cory Parish Trainer: Tom Dabernig J: Cory Parish T: Tom Dabernig	117	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Last start 5th of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on June 4 over 6f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Bold Secret with 131lbs at $5.50. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Warrnambool 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 7 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.25 len behind Atomova with 131lbs at $3. This looks the ideal assignment.
11	Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation fifth of 9 at Terang 3yo Mdn-Sw January 2 over 6f, 4 len behind Asakura carrying 123lbs at $15. On debut third of 12 at Terang Mdn-Sw December 16 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Bazzar with 123lbs at $8. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Expected to feature. 2nd Pick 11 Gasoline Rainbow Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Symon Wilde J: Jack Hill T: Symon Wilde	92	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation fifth of 9 at Terang 3yo Mdn-Sw January 2 over 6f, 4 len behind Asakura carrying 123lbs at $15. On debut third of 12 at Terang Mdn-Sw December 16 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Bazzar with 123lbs at $8. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Expected to feature.
2	Second run back. Comes off a 40-day let-up. First-up after five months 5th of 12 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on May 11 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Holding Captive with 131lbs at $6. Previously second-up ran second last of 11 at Warrnambool 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 30 over 7f, slow going 9 len behind Flying Done carrying 128lbs at $3.50. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 3rd Pick 2 Brazen Warrior Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Patrick Payne J: Will Gordon T: Patrick Payne	195	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 40-day let-up. First-up after five months 5th of 12 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on May 11 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Holding Captive with 131lbs at $6. Previously second-up ran second last of 11 at Warrnambool 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 30 over 7f, slow going 9 len behind Flying Done carrying 128lbs at $3.50. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.