AU - Cranbourne - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

32.1K

VIEW

Verdict

IFTIHAR (10) has finished third in all three starts to date, close up two back, setting up a good speed latest with the winner dominant from the back. Back slightly in trip suits and this looks a winnable race if she gets the first half of the race right. BELLA VERONA (8) is a filly by Castelvecchio on debut for the Matt Laurie yard. She looked good charging to the line to win a recent jumpout at Mornington and should prove very hard to hold out late. PLAYFUL AS (11) made good improvement at her second start at Kilmore when getting into the placings. She can figure with further natural upside. FOXSKY (3) is another that made quick strides at start two to place at Sale. He too can figure from a good draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd in a small field at this track 3yo F Mdn-Sw on March 27 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Parvenu carrying 126lbs at $3.80. The race before that gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 12 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 13 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Cadillac Sam carrying 123lbs at $51. Knocking on the door and will take catching. 1st Pick 10 Iftihar Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Julius Sandhu J: Jamie Mott T: Julius Sandhu	192	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd in a small field at this track 3yo F Mdn-Sw on March 27 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Parvenu carrying 126lbs at $3.80. The race before that gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 12 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 13 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Cadillac Sam carrying 123lbs at $51. Knocking on the door and will take catching.
8	Filly by Castelvecchio facing the starter for the first time. Won a Mornington jump-out on April 8. Looks to have an engine and must respect on home deck. 2nd Pick 8 Bella Verona Jockey: Patrick Moloney Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Patrick Moloney T: Matt Laurie	81	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Filly by Castelvecchio facing the starter for the first time. Won a Mornington jump-out on April 8. Looks to have an engine and must respect on home deck.
11	Raced two times to date. When well in the market at debut, raced on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 12 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on March 13 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Sun Devil carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on March 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Hell's Diamond carrying 126lbs at $8.50. Further improvement has her in the finish. 3rd Pick 11 Playful As Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	117	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Raced two times to date. When well in the market at debut, raced on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 12 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on March 13 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Sun Devil carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on March 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Hell's Diamond carrying 126lbs at $8.50. Further improvement has her in the finish.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.