AU - Cranbourne - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 9

29.5K

VIEW

Verdict

THINKYAHOT (3) should take beating. He's been nothing if not consistent, runner-up in 4/6 starts to date, going down a neck when heavily supported at Ballarat Synthetic last time out. If anything, switching back to turf should suit better and he won't get many better chances than this from an ideal gate. TAGAMATE (2) was okay at Geelong last time on very heavy ground. His form prior was rock solid for this including a third to the handy Miss Lola. That form should stand up. SHAMANSARA (10) is a filly by Shamus Award on debut for the Hayes yard. She got home well in a recent jumpout and has been backed early which is worth noting for these connections. STELLETTA (11) was well beaten fresh at short odds on synthetic but could turn things around quickly on turf. PRIDE OF MANDY (9) is racing well and gets every hope from the inside.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Racing well recently. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 24 over 6f, neck behind Lift Net with 131lbs at $1.50. Before that 3rd of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on June 10 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.5 len behind Eeny Meeny with 131lbs at $2.80. Knocking on the door and gets every hope. 1st Pick 3 Thinkyahot Jockey: Zac Spain Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Zac Spain T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	161	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 24 over 6f, neck behind Lift Net with 131lbs at $1.50. Before that 3rd of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on June 10 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.5 len behind Eeny Meeny with 131lbs at $2.80. Knocking on the door and gets every hope.
2	At the latest run 5th of 7 at Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 19 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.25 len behind Somersault with 128lbs at $3.90. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside Mdn-Sw on June 3 over 6f, in the wet, 2 len behind Miss Lola with 131lbs at $17. Racing well enough to take this out. 2nd Pick 2 Tagamate Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Mark & Levi Kavanagh J: Luke Currie T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh	111	-	-	-	15%
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 7 at Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 19 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.25 len behind Somersault with 128lbs at $3.90. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside Mdn-Sw on June 3 over 6f, in the wet, 2 len behind Miss Lola with 131lbs at $17. Racing well enough to take this out.
10	Filly by Shamus Award facing the starter for the first time. Ran 3rd in a Pakenham Synthetic trial over 5f on July 7. Should be ready to go. 3rd Pick 10 Shamansara Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jamie Mott T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	74	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Filly by Shamus Award facing the starter for the first time. Ran 3rd in a Pakenham Synthetic trial over 5f on July 7. Should be ready to go.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.