AU - Mornington - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

20.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Keen to see the return of DETERMINED ROSE (10) who was a very impressive winner on debut here back in June, leading throughout in fast time to win well. Since spelled, she's trialled nicely and with a clean getaway she'll be very hard to catch here. LIGHT MOVES (3) resumes. He showed good ability in four runs last time in getting over a touch further. Watch the betting. POL ROGEUR (4) resumes. He went to the paddock off a maiden win here albeit over 7 ½f. He did run well this trip on debut behind a handy enough horse, look for him running on. CRESTA CRYSTAL (9) resumes with each way claims, she should get a nice enough trail behind the pace.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Resuming after a break, only one run when won by 2 len in a 2yo Hcp at this track on June 8 over 6f in the wet defeating Centenary Florin carrying 126lbs at $12. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Very good on debut and can remain unbeaten. 1st Pick 10 Determined Rose Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Jerome Hunter J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Jerome Hunter	157	-	-	-	53%	10/11
Analysis Resuming after a break, only one run when won by 2 len in a 2yo Hcp at this track on June 8 over 6f in the wet defeating Centenary Florin carrying 126lbs at $12. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Very good on debut and can remain unbeaten.
3	Resuming after a seven months break. Finished off last campaign second last in a small field at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm66 March 18 over 7 ½f, 5.5 len behind Savitri with 129lbs at $8. On debut fifth of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw January 29 over 6f, 6 len behind Sapphire Siren carrying 128lbs at $5. Should run a forward race. 2nd Pick 3 Light Moves Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Thomas Stockdale T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	95	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Resuming after a seven months break. Finished off last campaign second last in a small field at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm66 March 18 over 7 ½f, 5.5 len behind Savitri with 129lbs at $8. On debut fifth of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw January 29 over 6f, 6 len behind Sapphire Siren carrying 128lbs at $5. Should run a forward race.
7	Resuming after a five months break. Not seen since he finished last of 8 at Caulfield 2yo Hcp May 30 over 6f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Obambulate with 130lbs at $4.20. On debut won by 1.5 len Terang 2yo Mdn-Sw April 12 over 5f in the wet defeating Howcani Resistyou with 128lbs at $3.30. Nice profile and expected to run well. 3rd Pick 7 Crank Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Non Runner T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	116	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Resuming after a five months break. Not seen since he finished last of 8 at Caulfield 2yo Hcp May 30 over 6f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Obambulate with 130lbs at $4.20. On debut won by 1.5 len Terang 2yo Mdn-Sw April 12 over 5f in the wet defeating Howcani Resistyou with 128lbs at $3.30. Nice profile and expected to run well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.