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53 Min Till Start

AU - Mornington - Race 6

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
7.5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
15.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PHANTOM PRINCE (3) can mix his form but got home well here last time for third in a similar race over 6f, giving the indication that 7 ½f would suit nicely. This doesn't look an overly strong race. Go close. SHAY'S WAY (7) is fresh for this having struggled in tougher at Kyneton last time out. She draws well for Egan who can track the speed and have the last say. TIGHT GRIP (4) struggled here last time but didn't have much luck. His best figures can see him figure in the finish. SAXON BLOOD (1) resumes over a suitable kickoff point, he can look to hold a spot and box on for a minor placing.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Vegas On Fire silk

Second-up. First-up after six months led but faded 3rd of 9 at Kilmore Bm56 on May 4 over 7 ¼f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Super Paradise with 126lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up ran last of 13 at Werribee Bm58 on May 16 2025 over 1m, 18 len behind Clavel with 132lbs at $10. Fitter and will give a huge sight.

1st Pick
9

Vegas On Fire

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Shawn Mathrick

J: Non Runner

T: Shawn Mathrick

86---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after six months led but faded 3rd of 9 at Kilmore Bm56 on May 4 over 7 ¼f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Super Paradise with 126lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up ran last of 13 at Werribee Bm58 on May 16 2025 over 1m, 18 len behind Clavel with 132lbs at $10. Fitter and will give a huge sight.

3
Phantom Prince silk

Last start 3rd of 14 at this track 0 - 56 on May 10 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Ania carrying 123lbs at $11. Before that 6th of 9 at this track Bm56 on April 5 over 6f, 4 len behind Magnardo with 131lbs at $19. An inside stall is a big advantage. Going well enough to take this out.

2nd Pick
3

Phantom Prince

Jockey: Luke Cartwright

Trainer: Lyn Tolson & Leonie Proctor

J: Luke Cartwright

T: Lyn Tolson & Leonie Proctor

103---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start 3rd of 14 at this track 0 - 56 on May 10 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Ania carrying 123lbs at $11. Before that 6th of 9 at this track Bm56 on April 5 over 6f, 4 len behind Magnardo with 131lbs at $19. An inside stall is a big advantage. Going well enough to take this out.

7
Shay's Way silk

Comes here off a 32-day let-up. At the latest run second last of 9 at Kyneton Bm56 on April 23 over 7f, 5 len behind License To Excite with 130lbs at $26. The race before that 4th of 8 at Ararat Bm56 on March 30 over 1m, 4 len behind The Daily Planet carrying 130lbs at $17. Drawn for a sweet run and can figure.

3rd Pick
7

Shay's Way

Jockey: Billy Egan

Trainer: William Morrissey

J: Billy Egan

T: William Morrissey

102---12%8/1

Analysis

Comes here off a 32-day let-up. At the latest run second last of 9 at Kyneton Bm56 on April 23 over 7f, 5 len behind License To Excite with 130lbs at $26. The race before that 4th of 8 at Ararat Bm56 on March 30 over 1m, 4 len behind The Daily Planet carrying 130lbs at $17. Drawn for a sweet run and can figure.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.