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Resulted

AU - Mornington - Race 6

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
26.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DIAMOND GUST (3) resumes. Two runs last time in were good, placing in both and the form out of them reads well. First up last campaign he ran third to Vivid Sun at Sandown Hillside who was heavily bet in a Listed race next time out. He can be an improver off a short spell here and should take plenty of beating from the good draw. CHICAGO BLUES (1) is racing well, running an honest race in the G3 Blue Sapphire Stakes at Caulfield last time out. That's not the strongest Group race but it's still good form for this and he should take catching. ESMAHLI (5) has raced twice to date, winning well on debut here over 5f before a solid effort last time, again at this track and distance. He has plenty of upside and should land in a great spot for Currie. DUBAI ADVENTURE (4) won well on debut here and is open to improvement and is next best.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Diamond Gust silk

Gelding back from a spell of three months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation third in a small field at Bendigo 3yo Bm64 September 17 over 6 ½f, soft track, 2 len behind Single Choice with 131lbs at $2.20. When resuming last campaign third of 7 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Bm64 September 3 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Vivid Sun carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Form last time reads well, expecting he goes close on his home

1st Pick
3

Diamond Gust

Jockey: Ryan Houston

Trainer: Matt Laurie

J: Ryan Houston

T: Matt Laurie

116---23%

Analysis

Gelding back from a spell of three months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation third in a small field at Bendigo 3yo Bm64 September 17 over 6 ½f, soft track, 2 len behind Single Choice with 131lbs at $2.20. When resuming last campaign third of 7 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Bm64 September 3 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Vivid Sun carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Form last time reads well, expecting he goes close on his home

1
Chicago Blues silk

Most recently 5th of 10 at Caulfield in the G3 Blue Sapphire on November 29 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Motorsports carrying 126lbs at $11. The race before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Caulfield Heath 3yo F Bm64 on November 12 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.25 len behind Blaze Away with 130lbs at $19. Easier here, sets up nicely.

2nd Pick
1

Chicago Blues

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Jason Warren

J: Jamie Mott

T: Jason Warren

178---36%

Analysis

Most recently 5th of 10 at Caulfield in the G3 Blue Sapphire on November 29 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Motorsports carrying 126lbs at $11. The race before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Caulfield Heath 3yo F Bm64 on November 12 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.25 len behind Blaze Away with 130lbs at $19. Easier here, sets up nicely.

5
Esmahli silk

Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at this track Mdn-Sw November 10 over 5f on a soft track defeating Ruby Avenue with 128lbs at $3.40. Second-up held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at this track Cg&E Bm62 on November 27 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Rosa Aotearoa carrying 130lbs at $3.40. Coming along nicely and should be right in the mix again.

3rd Pick
5

Esmahli

Jockey: Luke Currie

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Luke Currie

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

144---23%

Analysis

Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at this track Mdn-Sw November 10 over 5f on a soft track defeating Ruby Avenue with 128lbs at $3.40. Second-up held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at this track Cg&E Bm62 on November 27 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Rosa Aotearoa carrying 130lbs at $3.40. Coming along nicely and should be right in the mix again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.