AU - Mornington - Race 5

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

10.2f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.7K

VIEW

Verdict

AVONVIEW (1) looks nicely placed to keep the ball rolling, relishing the heavy going at Kilmore when last seen to score well as a narrow favourite. He's drawn wide here but can roll forward and take beating again. UP AND UNDER (4) has been around the mark in both starts this time in, boxing on well for fourth at Ararat second up. He doesn't win many (1/30) but can certainly place at odds. MASH AND GRAVY (6) struggled last time at Wangaratta but has won a hurdle trial since and that could spark him back to form. THE GRUMP (16) has had three runs back and been around the mark, up in trip should suit nicely now and he can get into the finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by 1.5 len at Kilmore 0-56 May 4 over 1 ¼m in the wet defeating Step In Time carrying 123lbs at $4.40. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Kilmore 0 - 56 on April 18 over 1 ¼m, 1.3 len behind Real Intrigue carrying 123lbs at $10. Big chance to go back-to-back. 1st Pick 1 Avonview Jockey: Nadia Daniels Trainer: Damien Walkley J: Nadia Daniels T: Damien Walkley	126	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by 1.5 len at Kilmore 0-56 May 4 over 1 ¼m in the wet defeating Step In Time carrying 123lbs at $4.40. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Kilmore 0 - 56 on April 18 over 1 ¼m, 1.3 len behind Real Intrigue carrying 123lbs at $10. Big chance to go back-to-back.
8	Racing well recently. At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track 0 - 56 on May 10 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.5 len behind Luckyheleft with 122lbs at $4.60. The race before that 4th of 8 at Moe 0 - 56 on April 25 over 1 ½m, 3 len behind Gambu with 122lbs at $4.20. Flying and should take catching again. 2nd Pick 8 Rule Of Salex Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Michael Harrison J: Non Runner T: Michael Harrison	114	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track 0 - 56 on May 10 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.5 len behind Luckyheleft with 122lbs at $4.60. The race before that 4th of 8 at Moe 0 - 56 on April 25 over 1 ½m, 3 len behind Gambu with 122lbs at $4.20. Flying and should take catching again.
4	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 9 at this track Bm56 on April 28 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Bencouver with 127lbs at $14. Second run from a spell 4th of 14 at Ararat 0 - 56 on May 9 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Fashion Fighter carrying 132lbs at $6.50. Drawn ideally and should go close. 3rd Pick 4 Up And Under Jockey: Dylan Dean Trainer: David Noonan J: Dylan Dean T: David Noonan	159	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 9 at this track Bm56 on April 28 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Bencouver with 127lbs at $14. Second run from a spell 4th of 14 at Ararat 0 - 56 on May 9 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Fashion Fighter carrying 132lbs at $6.50. Drawn ideally and should go close.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.