AU - Mornington - Race 5

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

26.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Not the strongest race and LET'SFACETHEMUSIC (1) won't get a better chance to return to winning ways. At his best, he'd be taking care of this field however two runs back have been solid without really threatening. Regardless, they've been in better company than this, and he should get every chance now. DARTS DALY (3) resumes. He was racing consistently last time in work, albeit struggling first up at Warrnambool before hitting his straps. 6f fresh should suit and he can figure. WHITE BEAR (8) was okay first up for the new yard having struggled to recapture his best form for a while. At his best he'd go very well here and he gets in very light after the 9lbs claim which suggests he'll be ridden to lead. IMMORTAL STAR (7) struggled here last time off a solid return but has each-way claims. MAGARTEN (2) resumes and may find them a touch sharp but can work home late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 10 at Bendigo Bm78 on October 29 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Harry's Yacht carrying 125lbs at $5.50. Last start 5th of 9 at Cranbourne Bm80 on November 22 over 6f, 3 len behind Hearcomesthestar carrying 118lbs at $5.50. Finds his right race now and should go close. 1st Pick 1 Let'sfacethemusic Jockey: Olivia East Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Olivia East T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	169	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 10 at Bendigo Bm78 on October 29 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Harry's Yacht carrying 125lbs at $5.50. Last start 5th of 9 at Cranbourne Bm80 on November 22 over 6f, 3 len behind Hearcomesthestar carrying 118lbs at $5.50. Finds his right race now and should go close.
3	Resumes after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation eighth of 13 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 July 16 over 6 ½f, soft track, 2.75 len behind Vienna Vixen carrying 131lbs at $12. First up last campaign seventh of 13 at Warrnambool Bm64 January 12 over 6f, 9 len behind Miss Tallchief carrying 130lbs at $9. Best form reads well, can win fresh. 2nd Pick 3 Darts Daly Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Symon Wilde J: Jake Noonan T: Symon Wilde	122	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Resumes after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation eighth of 13 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 July 16 over 6 ½f, soft track, 2.75 len behind Vienna Vixen carrying 131lbs at $12. First up last campaign seventh of 13 at Warrnambool Bm64 January 12 over 6f, 9 len behind Miss Tallchief carrying 130lbs at $9. Best form reads well, can win fresh.
8	Second-up. First-up after two months 5th of 7 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 on November 19 over 5f, 3 len behind You're Two Vain carrying 127lbs at $19. Previously second-up ran last of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm64 on August 6 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Princess Que with 126lbs at $9. Okay fresh for new yard, respecting here. 3rd Pick 8 White Bear Jockey: Bree Temple Trainer: Melissa Page J: Bree Temple T: Melissa Page	116	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months 5th of 7 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 on November 19 over 5f, 3 len behind You're Two Vain carrying 127lbs at $19. Previously second-up ran last of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm64 on August 6 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Princess Que with 126lbs at $9. Okay fresh for new yard, respecting here.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.