AU - Mornington - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

7.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

24.4K

VIEW

Verdict

TOP RICH (4) stepped up to this trip at Ballarat and ran an improved race, working home well into second. Fitter again, just not sure where he gets to from the draw but with any luck he'll be very hard to beat. PRIME FORCE (11) has shown ability in two runs to date, perhaps not loving the synthetic last time. Gear changes made, he can improve again. LEVENT (10) was okay at Seymour latest but the run prior at Kilmore reads well for this when bumping into a handy one. TRENTINO (5) can mix his form a bit but has claims on the run at Geelong while LATE NIGHT WONDER (9) ran in a very hot maiden on debut and can improve despite the big margin defeat.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Recent form sound. Most recently set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on October 4 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Certainly Quiet carrying 126lbs at $1.80. The start before that 2nd of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 20 over 7 ½f, long-neck behind Written Empire carrying 128lbs at $14. Finds the right race and should be breaking through. 1st Pick 8 Gilgeous Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Non Runner T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	184	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on October 4 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Certainly Quiet carrying 126lbs at $1.80. The start before that 2nd of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 20 over 7 ½f, long-neck behind Written Empire carrying 128lbs at $14. Finds the right race and should be breaking through.
4	Third-up today. First-up 4th of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on September 23 over 7f, 4 len behind True Rebel carrying 131lbs at $51. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on October 9 over 7 ½f, 1.0 len behind Millsy's Award with 131lbs at $4.40. Tricky draw but looks ready to peak. 2nd Pick 4 Top Rich Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Clayton Douglas J: Jamie Mott T: Clayton Douglas	118	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 4th of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on September 23 over 7f, 4 len behind True Rebel carrying 131lbs at $51. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on October 9 over 7 ½f, 1.0 len behind Millsy's Award with 131lbs at $4.40. Tricky draw but looks ready to peak.
11	Had two starts to date. When well in the market at debut, led but faded 3rd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Bairnsdale on September 20 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Luminary Miss carrying 126lbs at $3.90. Last start led to the turn then faded 5th of 8 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on October 5 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Autumn Rainbow with 128lbs at $10. Can bounce back. 3rd Pick 11 Prime Force Jockey: Luke Cartwright Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Luke Cartwright T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	75	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Had two starts to date. When well in the market at debut, led but faded 3rd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Bairnsdale on September 20 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Luminary Miss carrying 126lbs at $3.90. Last start led to the turn then faded 5th of 8 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on October 5 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Autumn Rainbow with 128lbs at $10. Can bounce back.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.