AU - Mornington - Race 4

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ANIA (1) finds another winnable affair here having gotten the job done with some conviction in a 0-56 over this route last time out, scoring by 1.5 lengths. This doesn't look a whole lot harder and she's well placed once more. BLONDIE'S TORONADO (5) was below her best on resumption at Sale in a BM62, beaten six lengths when in the market. This is easier and she draws to effect, look for improvement. REGAL ASCEND (2) struggled over further at Geelong when last seen and has been let up since. Onto her home deck here and Mott booked, expect she's strong late. QUEEN BEIRA (3) is off a short spell here, now with the Goodwin yard. She could be an improver for the new camp. HOT STEPPING HIPPY (4) won narrowly last time and is in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Third-up today. First-up got back early 4th in a small field at Cranbourne F&M Bm62 on April 10 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Catwalk Icon carrying 127lbs at $17. Second-up favourite, won by 1.5 len at this track 0 - 56 May 10 over 6f on a soft track defeating Magnea with 128lbs at $3.50. Drawn well and finds another winnable race. 1st Pick 1 Ania Jockey: Dylan Dean Trainer: Julius Sandhu J: Dylan Dean T: Julius Sandhu	210	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up got back early 4th in a small field at Cranbourne F&M Bm62 on April 10 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Catwalk Icon carrying 127lbs at $17. Second-up favourite, won by 1.5 len at this track 0 - 56 May 10 over 6f on a soft track defeating Magnea with 128lbs at $3.50. Drawn well and finds another winnable race.
5	Second-up. First-up after seven months 6th of 8 at Sale Bm62 on May 3 over 6f, 6 len behind Sweet Jasmine with 123lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at Ballarat Bm56 on October 14 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Sistine Tunnel with 132lbs at $26. Fitter and suited this level, go close. 2nd Pick 5 Blondie's Toronado Jockey: Zac Spain Trainer: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black J: Zac Spain T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black	85	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months 6th of 8 at Sale Bm62 on May 3 over 6f, 6 len behind Sweet Jasmine with 123lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at Ballarat Bm56 on October 14 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Sistine Tunnel with 132lbs at $26. Fitter and suited this level, go close.
2	Comes here off a 45-day let-up. At the latest run second last of 11 at Geelong Bm56 on April 10 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Short Reply carrying 132lbs at $9. The race before that came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Terang Mdn-Sw March 17 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating License To Excite carrying 126lbs at $3.20. Can atone. 3rd Pick 2 Regal Ascend Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: John Mcardle J: Jamie Mott T: John Mcardle	118	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Comes here off a 45-day let-up. At the latest run second last of 11 at Geelong Bm56 on April 10 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Short Reply carrying 132lbs at $9. The race before that came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Terang Mdn-Sw March 17 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating License To Excite carrying 126lbs at $3.20. Can atone.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.