AU - Mornington - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

28.3K

VIEW

Verdict

SOMERSAULT (10) looks well placed to break through at the fourth time of asking. The debut over 5f was just fair but her past couple over this trip have been good when narrowly beaten. She should come on from those and had a fitness advantage on key rivals. Drawn well for Dee, she can stalk the speed and prove too strong late. SUPERGRACE (11) resumes. She was last seen running third in town at Sandown Lakeside having hinted at good ability prior. She should be ready to run well. KOKO (3) made nice improvement at her second start last time, beaten half a length over this route. She'll just need a touch of luck early from the wide gate. MISS MARANDA (6) ran well on debut in a good maiden at Pakenham over 5f and should appreciate the extra furlong here. She draws well for an in-form Luke Currie. TOY QUEEN (12) was sound on debut although this is harder.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Recent form sound. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Geelong 3yo F Mdn-Sw on December 4 over 6 ¼f, long-neck behind Pinot For Mike with 126lbs at $9.50. The race before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Kyneton F&M Mdn-Sw on November 18 over 6f, head behind Zoulette with 125lbs at $3.10. Coming along well and gets her chance here. 1st Pick 10 Somersault Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Michael Dee T: Grahame Begg	145	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Geelong 3yo F Mdn-Sw on December 4 over 6 ¼f, long-neck behind Pinot For Mike with 126lbs at $9.50. The race before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Kyneton F&M Mdn-Sw on November 18 over 6f, head behind Zoulette with 125lbs at $3.10. Coming along well and gets her chance here.
11	Resuming after four-and-a-half months in the paddock. Finished off last campaign third in a small field at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Mdn-Sw August 6 over 6f, soft track, 1.3 len behind Censori carrying 126lbs at $4.40. Previously first up, seventh of 11 at Geelong 2yo Mdn-Sw June 20 over 6f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Lope De Lardo with 126lbs at $5.50. Looks all set for a bright return. 2nd Pick 11 Supergrace Jockey: Luke Cartwright Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Luke Cartwright T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	124	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Resuming after four-and-a-half months in the paddock. Finished off last campaign third in a small field at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Mdn-Sw August 6 over 6f, soft track, 1.3 len behind Censori carrying 126lbs at $4.40. Previously first up, seventh of 11 at Geelong 2yo Mdn-Sw June 20 over 6f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Lope De Lardo with 126lbs at $5.50. Looks all set for a bright return.
3	Raced twice to date. At debut, 4th of 9 at Kyneton 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 5 over 6f, in the wet, 0.9 len behind Asiatic carrying 123lbs at $9. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on November 27 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Path To Profit carrying 125lbs at $3.30. Heading the right way and can win with a bit of luck. 3rd Pick 3 Koko Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Mark Walker J: Jamie Mott T: Mark Walker	165	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Raced twice to date. At debut, 4th of 9 at Kyneton 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 5 over 6f, in the wet, 0.9 len behind Asiatic carrying 123lbs at $9. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on November 27 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Path To Profit carrying 125lbs at $3.30. Heading the right way and can win with a bit of luck.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.