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Resulted

AU - Mornington - Race 3

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
28.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VALEDICTORIAN (6) has had a few chances but continues to race well, off a short let up for this. He was beaten just two lengths when last seen at Geelong in a handy maiden and with a bit more time under his belt, and residual fitness on his side, he can get the job done. KINGS COMMISSION (1) resumes. He's a relation to Black Caviar (out of the great mare's first foal, Oscietra) who showed glimpses in two runs last time in. He's off a long break, watch the betting. INSPIRING (5) is an Impending gelding on debut for the Eurell yard who has jumped out well and can win. FUNDAMENTAL NATURE (10) is an Exceedance filly for the Ciaron Maher yard who has also jumped out nicely and has been met with early support, wary.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Valedictorian silk

Recent form sound. Comes here off a 33-day let-up. Most recently 4th of 10 at Geelong 3yo C&G Mdn-Sw on November 14 over 6f, 2 len behind Regeneration with 128lbs at $16. The start before that came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on October 31 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Seven Oceans with 126lbs at $4. Keeps racing well and has fitness on his side.

1st Pick
6

Valedictorian

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Julius Sandhu

J: Jamie Mott

T: Julius Sandhu

237---23%

Analysis

Recent form sound. Comes here off a 33-day let-up. Most recently 4th of 10 at Geelong 3yo C&G Mdn-Sw on November 14 over 6f, 2 len behind Regeneration with 128lbs at $16. The start before that came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on October 31 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Seven Oceans with 126lbs at $4. Keeps racing well and has fitness on his side.

1
Kings Commission silk

Resuming after a 15 months break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 7 at Canterbury Super Mdn-Sw September 18 2024 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Amelita carrying 126lbs at $21. On debut fourth of 11 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw August 29 2024 over 5 ½f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Escarpa with 128lbs at $17. This is an ideal race to kick off. Has shown ability, wary from the good draw.

2nd Pick
1

Kings Commission

Jockey: Carleen Hefel

Trainer: M, W & J Hawkes

J: Carleen Hefel

T: M, W & J Hawkes

90---29%

Analysis

Resuming after a 15 months break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 7 at Canterbury Super Mdn-Sw September 18 2024 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Amelita carrying 126lbs at $21. On debut fourth of 11 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw August 29 2024 over 5 ½f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Escarpa with 128lbs at $17. This is an ideal race to kick off. Has shown ability, wary from the good draw.

3
Burleigh silk

Third-up today. Resumes off a 38 day letup. First-up sat on the pace when 3rd of 11 at Horsham Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 5 ½f, 1.2 len behind Alzaro with 126lbs at $14. Second-up held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at Ararat Mdn-Sw on November 9 over 6 ½f, 2.25 len behind Naitanui with 128lbs at $1.50. Coming along well and can figure with a good ride.

3rd Pick
3

Burleigh

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Non Runner

T: Ciaron Maher

108---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Third-up today. Resumes off a 38 day letup. First-up sat on the pace when 3rd of 11 at Horsham Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 5 ½f, 1.2 len behind Alzaro with 126lbs at $14. Second-up held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at Ararat Mdn-Sw on November 9 over 6 ½f, 2.25 len behind Naitanui with 128lbs at $1.50. Coming along well and can figure with a good ride.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.