AU - Mornington - Race 3

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.7K

VIEW

Verdict

MEISHO (6) looks well placed here third up. Two runs back have been good in handy races, beaten a length when well in contention at Ballarat last start over 5 ½f. Back to the 5f here suits, she'll roll along for East and take catching. BEAU STRADA (9) broke through for an easy maiden win at Sale last start when backed into $1.50. Comes here on the quick turnaround and will be hard to hold out. ABOVETHEFROSTLINE (1) won well here in a BM56 second up after tracking the pace. Stays in this grade hence the weight rise but she can win again. ESPANA (7) has just been fair in two runs back but they've been in tougher affairs and this suits nicely.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Cranbourne F&M Bm62 on April 17 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Choir Point carrying 125lbs at $3.90. Second run from a spell 4th of 10 at Ballarat Bm62 on May 10 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Antisocial with 128lbs at $3.20. Promising galloper. Thereabouts last time and rates highly. 1st Pick 6 Meisho Jockey: Olivia East Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Olivia East T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	135	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Cranbourne F&M Bm62 on April 17 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Choir Point carrying 125lbs at $3.90. Second run from a spell 4th of 10 at Ballarat Bm62 on May 10 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Antisocial with 128lbs at $3.20. Promising galloper. Thereabouts last time and rates highly.
9	Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 2 len at Sale Mdn-Sw May 17 over 5f defeating Morning Ralph with 127lbs at $1.50. The run before that 2nd in a small field at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on May 10 over 6f, slow going 1.3 len behind She Won't Fold carrying 128lbs at $2.45. Should be able to go on with it. 2nd Pick 9 Beau Strada Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Luke Oliver J: Billy Egan T: Luke Oliver	139	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 2 len at Sale Mdn-Sw May 17 over 5f defeating Morning Ralph with 127lbs at $1.50. The run before that 2nd in a small field at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on May 10 over 6f, slow going 1.3 len behind She Won't Fold carrying 128lbs at $2.45. Should be able to go on with it.
1	Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 9 at this track Bm56 on April 5 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Marilyn's Edge with 137lbs at $6. Second run from a spell raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at this track Bm56 April 28 over 5f defeating The Gov carrying 136lbs at $8. Speedy sort who can measure up again. 3rd Pick 1 Abovethefrostline Jockey: Melea Castle Trainer: Marcus Fahler J: Melea Castle T: Marcus Fahler	108	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 9 at this track Bm56 on April 5 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Marilyn's Edge with 137lbs at $6. Second run from a spell raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at this track Bm56 April 28 over 5f defeating The Gov carrying 136lbs at $8. Speedy sort who can measure up again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.