AU - Mornington - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

10.1f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

28.3K

VIEW

Verdict

GOOD LORDY ME (3) just on top. He's knocking on the door with consecutive runner-up finishes, beaten as favourite at Bairnsdale but very good at Pakenham last time when just run down late. Can see him getting all the favours here and clinging on late. BONCAPO (8) is another that will be on up speed. He's coming along well in three runs to date, not far away in any of them. He should be suited to this trip now and can improve. DISTILLERY (2) resumed with a solid run at Wangaratta, no match for the winner but sticking on gamely for second and giving the indication more ground would suit. He can track the main dangers and look to outstay them late. WINTER GRACE (10) is going okay, solid out to this trip last time when third. She'll need to improve but can certainly place again. KIRWANS BRIDGE (5) has been okay in two runs back and is in the minor mix as well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Recent form sound. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 1m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Left Hook with 131lbs at $11. The start before that 2nd of 8 at Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 1m, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Gee And Tee with 131lbs at $2. Sets up well and can break through. 1st Pick 3 Good Lordy Me Jockey: Jason Maskiell Trainer: Jack Laing J: Jason Maskiell T: Jack Laing	123	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 1m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Left Hook with 131lbs at $11. The start before that 2nd of 8 at Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 1m, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Gee And Tee with 131lbs at $2. Sets up well and can break through.
8	At the latest run 6th of 12 at Donald Mdn-Sw on December 2 over 1m, 3 len behind I'llbethere carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Before that 5th of 11 at Ararat Mdn-Sw on November 9 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Aka Daka with 128lbs at $12. Should take beating. 2nd Pick 8 Boncapo Jockey: Robert Whearty Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Robert Whearty T: Ciaron Maher	177	-	-	-	10%
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 12 at Donald Mdn-Sw on December 2 over 1m, 3 len behind I'llbethere carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Before that 5th of 11 at Ararat Mdn-Sw on November 9 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Aka Daka with 128lbs at $12. Should take beating.
2	Second-up today. Last run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on December 6 over 1m, 4 len behind Waco Kid carrying 125lbs at $13. At only start last preparation second last of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on September 14 over 1m, 7 len behind Kakkoii with 131lbs at $16. Fitter and is a leading contender. 3rd Pick 2 Distillery Jockey: Lachlan King Trainer: Ben Brisbourne J: Lachlan King T: Ben Brisbourne	102	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Second-up today. Last run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on December 6 over 1m, 4 len behind Waco Kid carrying 125lbs at $13. At only start last preparation second last of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on September 14 over 1m, 7 len behind Kakkoii with 131lbs at $16. Fitter and is a leading contender.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.