AU - Sandown Lakeside - Race 7

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

34.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Track pattern will be key for DARK SIMBA (3) but if they can make ground over this trip he'll go close. He's always promised good ability and really came away from his rivals late at Bendigo over this trip to score by a dominant 2.75 lengths. Radley claims 4lbs and with even luck he'll be too strong late. BLUE WILLOW (16) got home well into third at Sandown Hillside last time out behind an in-form horse and gets in with just 112lbs after the very handy claim for Johnstone. She'll be very hard to hold out. FUNCHAL (1) resumes for a new yard. Her Perth form says she'll measure up but watch the market. PRESTIGE FOREVER (4) next best if he can cross over and find the front.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming got back early 6th of 11 at Caulfield Heath Cg&E Bm66 on May 27 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Yam with 129lbs at $3.40. Last start favourite, won by 2.75 len at Bendigo Elmore Cup June 13 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Charming Deel carrying 131lbs at $2.70. Tricky draw but should go close again. 1st Pick 3 Dark Simba Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jackson Radley T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	147	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming got back early 6th of 11 at Caulfield Heath Cg&E Bm66 on May 27 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Yam with 129lbs at $3.40. Last start favourite, won by 2.75 len at Bendigo Elmore Cup June 13 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Charming Deel carrying 131lbs at $2.70. Tricky draw but should go close again.
5	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran second last of 12 at this track Bm70 on May 31 over 7f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Silent Shares with 133lbs at $5.50. Second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 12 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 on June 17 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Prestige Forever carrying 131lbs at $10. Rates highly. Ready to fire. 2nd Pick 5 Nearing Liberty Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Matthew Brown J: Non Runner T: Matthew Brown	115	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran second last of 12 at this track Bm70 on May 31 over 7f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Silent Shares with 133lbs at $5.50. Second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 12 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 on June 17 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Prestige Forever carrying 131lbs at $10. Rates highly. Ready to fire.
16	Last start 3rd of 9 at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm74 on June 13 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Perfect Ten with 119lbs at $8. The start before that got back early 7th of 11 at Rosehill 3&4yo Bm72 on May 30 over 7 ½f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Ertijaaj carrying 115lbs at $21. Hard to hold out. 3rd Pick 16 Blue Willow Jockey: Jabez Johnstone Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Jabez Johnstone T: Ciaron Maher	134	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Last start 3rd of 9 at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm74 on June 13 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Perfect Ten with 119lbs at $8. The start before that got back early 7th of 11 at Rosehill 3&4yo Bm72 on May 30 over 7 ½f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Ertijaaj carrying 115lbs at $21. Hard to hold out.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.