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Resulted

AU - Sandown Lakeside - Race 4

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
11.9f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 9
34.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

EMPRESS OF THE SUN (9) found her right race here last time out and won well, settling just off the small field and coming away to score by two lengths over this route. She finds a very similar race and the 7lbs claim for Jabez Johnstone is a huge tick. LIGHTENING MANN (3) did well to win third up at Swan Hill, stepping up to this trip and coming clear to score by a length. He can continue to progress and draws nicely. NEARCO FROD (7) has placed in both runs back and should be ready to peak now up to 1 ½m on a relatively quick turnaround. Look for him late. SHULTZY (10) relished the heavy going at Geelong to score dominantly last time and comes into calculations if it's very wet again. OMAMORI (11) was behind Shultzy last time and is in the mix again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Empress Of The Sun silk

Most recently came from midfield and won by 2 len at this track Bm74 June 3 over 1 ½m on a heavy track defeating Ardashir carrying 119lbs at $4.80. The race before that 2nd of 16 at Warrnambool Bm70 on May 5 over 1 7/16m, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind El James carrying 123lbs at $13. Big chance on latest.

1st Pick
9

Empress Of The Sun

Jockey: Jabez Johnstone

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Jabez Johnstone

T: Ciaron Maher

172---34%

Analysis

Most recently came from midfield and won by 2 len at this track Bm74 June 3 over 1 ½m on a heavy track defeating Ardashir carrying 119lbs at $4.80. The race before that 2nd of 16 at Warrnambool Bm70 on May 5 over 1 7/16m, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind El James carrying 123lbs at $13. Big chance on latest.

3
Lightening Mann silk

Most recently won by 1.0 len at Swan Hill Bm78 June 7 over 1 ½m on a soft track defeating Shultzy with 123lbs at $8. The start before that 9th of 11 at Pakenham Bm74 on May 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 5.5 len behind My Roca Fella with 128lbs at $41. Worth following up.

2nd Pick
3

Lightening Mann

Jockey: Logan Bates

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Logan Bates

T: Ciaron Maher

106---17%

Analysis

Most recently won by 1.0 len at Swan Hill Bm78 June 7 over 1 ½m on a soft track defeating Shultzy with 123lbs at $8. The start before that 9th of 11 at Pakenham Bm74 on May 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 5.5 len behind My Roca Fella with 128lbs at $41. Worth following up.

7
Nearco Frod silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Bm62 on May 29 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, long-neck behind Mahers Landing carrying 134lbs at $4. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Cranbourne Bm66 on June 21 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, neck behind Rainsun carrying 130lbs at $2.80. Fitter now and making headway. Peaks now and should take holding out.

3rd Pick
7

Nearco Frod

Jockey: Craig Williams

Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

J: Craig Williams

T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

143---29%

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Bm62 on May 29 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, long-neck behind Mahers Landing carrying 134lbs at $4. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Cranbourne Bm66 on June 21 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, neck behind Rainsun carrying 130lbs at $2.80. Fitter now and making headway. Peaks now and should take holding out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.