AU - Sandown Lakeside - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

35.3K

VIEW

Verdict

Leaning to BAYWATCH (8) who got home strongly behind a handy one in Blue Willow at Sandown Hillside last start to grab second. Still an improving mare who stays down in the weights and should be hard to hold out/ TEMPRANILLO (6) was third in the Blue Willow race albeit beaten eight lengths on very testing ground. The run prior up in grade behind Silent Shares is solid form for this and Damian Lane on is a plus. LICENTIOUS (9) has been okay since a fresh win, tackling a 3yo open race at Flemington two back when close up before another bunched finish last time. She should take holding out. MEH KEFFI (3) is back in class and worth respecting, as is SAPPHIRE SIREN (4) who resumes with a nice profile.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	Recent form sound. Last start 2nd of 8 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, on rain affected going, 1.75 len behind Blue Willow with 121lbs at $9. The race before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Seymour on July 19 over 1m, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind One Long Day with 126lbs at $6. Knocking on the door and should go close. 1st Pick 8 Baywatch Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Michael Kent J: Luke Currie T: Michael Kent	135	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 2nd of 8 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, on rain affected going, 1.75 len behind Blue Willow with 121lbs at $9. The race before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Seymour on July 19 over 1m, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind One Long Day with 126lbs at $6. Knocking on the door and should go close.
6	Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 8 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Blue Willow carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Sandown-Hillside on July 15 over 7f, on heavy track, 3 len behind Silent Shares carrying 125lbs at $8. Well placed. Gets a nice set up here, big chance. 2nd Pick 6 Tempranillo Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Chris Waller J: Damian Lane T: Chris Waller	142	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 8 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Blue Willow carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Sandown-Hillside on July 15 over 7f, on heavy track, 3 len behind Silent Shares carrying 125lbs at $8. Well placed. Gets a nice set up here, big chance.
9	Most recently 5th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, on a wet track, 1.4 len behind Censori carrying 117lbs at $8.50. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 at Flemington on July 18 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Salizou carrying 115lbs at $21. Has upside and should give a sight. 3rd Pick 9 Licentious Jockey: Holly Durnan Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Holly Durnan T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	85	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, on a wet track, 1.4 len behind Censori carrying 117lbs at $8.50. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 at Flemington on July 18 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Salizou carrying 115lbs at $21. Has upside and should give a sight.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.