AU - Caulfield - Race 8

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

2089.1K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Onto the Caulfield Guineas and again we're looking for a bit of value in he form of TRON BOLT (4) who is already a G1 winner over a mile in the JJ Atkins. His two runs back have been more than enough, given no chance fresh then holding his ground in a brutally run Golden Rose second up. He was at his top throughout there, the step to a mile can see him improve lengths and this has been his grand final all along. WARWOVEN (2) won the Golden Rose brilliantly and smashed the clock in doing so. Can't see a mile posing an issue off that but it was a huge spike, perhaps he regresses just a touch. Regardless, he's the one to beat. Very wary of BLIND RAISE (5) who was dominant winning the Prelude, working early then attacked on the turn but putting a gap on them late. He'll be on speed and run this out strongly. CENTRAL EUROPE (7) went way too fast in the Golden Rose and could improve from DIAMETER (6) who won the Stutt Stakes, albeit that looks the inferior form line.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	1 Unit Five Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Thomas Stockdale T: Ciaron Maher	138	-	-	-	5%	20/1
2	2nd Pick 2 Warwoven Jockey: Rachel King Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Rachel King T: Bjorn Baker	237	-	-	-	45%	5/4
3	3 Tornado Valley Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: William Pike T: Ciaron Maher	123	-	-	-	4%	25/1
4	1st Pick 4 Tron Bolt Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Chris Waller J: Craig Williams T: Chris Waller	156	-	-	-	13%	7/1
5	3rd Pick 5 Blind Raise Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Blake Shinn T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	124	-	-	-	29%	5/2
6	6 Diameter Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Chris Waller J: Jye Mcneil T: Chris Waller	110	-	-	-	4%	25/1
7	7 Central Europe Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Chris Waller J: James Mcdonald T: Chris Waller	129	-	-	-	7%	14/1
8	8 Somethings Burnin' Jockey: Ben Melham Trainer: Chris Waller J: Ben Melham T: Chris Waller	123	-	-	-	4%	25/1
9	9 Wolf Gap Jockey: Ethan Brown Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Ethan Brown T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	142	-	-	-	6%	16/1
10	10 Seraphox Jockey: Declan Bates Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Declan Bates T: Ciaron Maher	99	-	-	-	2%	66/1
11	11 Call Me Coach Jockey: Mark Zahra Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Mark Zahra T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	144	-	-	-	7%	14/1