AU - Caulfield - Race 7

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

8.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

89.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Sticking with MADIYYA (15) who went agonisingly close at Flemington last time out, just left with a nose (if that) left to do off a slow speed, diving on the line and just missing the photo. She's building to a win and Mott should have her sweeping into this late. MR BLUNT (14) was a dominant winner two back at Flemington, struggling as a short priced favourite there last time in a bit of a strange race. He can bounce back although a soft track is unknown. FIRST CHORUS (7) is also a bit of a tricky one. She was scratched a couple of times with a foot issue having won very well here two back. She was okay back in trip last week and now backs up quickly to 1 ¹/16m which should suit better, although the draw hurts. NATION'S CALL (5) beat Madiyya last time and has to have some claims up on speed again. THINK GIANT (3) is an import who was last seen in a German Group 1, market best guide off a solid trial win.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
15	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 13 at Flemington Bm78 on June 6 over 1m, on a wet track, nose behind Nation's Call with 126lbs at $5. Before that 3rd of 13 at Flemington F&M Bm78 on May 16 over 7f, head behind Naina with 130lbs at $3.90. Just missed last time and gets her chance to atone. 1st Pick 15 Madiyya Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jamie Mott T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	127	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 13 at Flemington Bm78 on June 6 over 1m, on a wet track, nose behind Nation's Call with 126lbs at $5. Before that 3rd of 13 at Flemington F&M Bm78 on May 16 over 7f, head behind Naina with 130lbs at $3.90. Just missed last time and gets her chance to atone.
14	Comes here off a 42-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 10 at Flemington Bm84 on May 16 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Ghetto Supastar with 120lbs at $1.85. The start before that favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Flemington Bm74 April 25 over 1m defeating Cavalry carrying 125lbs at $16. Can bounce back strongly. 2nd Pick 14 Mr Blunt Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: John Allen T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	130	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Comes here off a 42-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 10 at Flemington Bm84 on May 16 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Ghetto Supastar with 120lbs at $1.85. The start before that favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Flemington Bm74 April 25 over 1m defeating Cavalry carrying 125lbs at $16. Can bounce back strongly.
7	At the latest run 5th of 13 at Flemington F&M Bm90 on June 20 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Stylish with 122lbs at $4.80. The run before that favourite, settled well back, won by 2.25 len at this track F&M Bm78 May 30 over 1m in the wet defeating Enna's Dream carrying 130lbs at $1.65. Interesting preparation but this trip suits much better, hard to beat. 3rd Pick 7 First Chorus Jockey: Molly Bourke Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Molly Bourke T: Lindsey Smith	177	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 13 at Flemington F&M Bm90 on June 20 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Stylish with 122lbs at $4.80. The run before that favourite, settled well back, won by 2.25 len at this track F&M Bm78 May 30 over 1m in the wet defeating Enna's Dream carrying 130lbs at $1.65. Interesting preparation but this trip suits much better, hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.