AU - Caulfield - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 7

212.2K

VIEW

Verdict

Onto our feature of the day and COSMIC CRUSADER (7) will take a power of beating. He made his Melbourne debut in the Bletchingly Stakes and ripped home off a slow speed over 6f to win dominantly. He's a G1 winner in Perth who is on an upwards spiral and with the run under the belt he's the one to beat. FEROCE (6) might be a danger at bigger odds. First up last campaign it took Tom Kitten to run him down over this route, beaten a head, and his prior run over this route was third to Sepals in a G1 Rupert Clarke. Can see him sitting midfield and swooping late. EVAPORATE (2) resumes. He had no luck in this race behind PRIVATE EYE (1) who led at a very slow speed and won well. Private Eye is a warrior but was possibly going a touch better this time last year. Evaporate will roll across and was tough in the G1 Futurity first up this route last campaign. DESERT LIGHTNING (4) maps ideally at his pet trip and should run well for exotics.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Second-up. First-up after eight months favourite, won by 2.5 len in the G3 Bletchingly Stakes at this track on July 25 over 6f on a soft track defeating Winnasedge carrying 129lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up favourite, scored a big 8 len win at Belmont Park on September 20 over 1 m on a soft track defeating Sensessional with 120lbs at $1.24. The one to beat based on that latest effort. Dominant in Melbourne debut and should only be better at this trip. 1st Pick 7 Cosmic Crusader Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Andrea Leek J: William Pike T: Andrea Leek	226	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months favourite, won by 2.5 len in the G3 Bletchingly Stakes at this track on July 25 over 6f on a soft track defeating Winnasedge carrying 129lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up favourite, scored a big 8 len win at Belmont Park on September 20 over 1 m on a soft track defeating Sensessional with 120lbs at $1.24. The one to beat based on that latest effort. Dominant in Melbourne debut and should only be better at this trip.
6	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign second of 11 at Rosehill in the G3 Donc Prel March 28 over 7 ½f, soft track, 1.5 len behind Welwal carrying 127lbs at $12. Previously first up, second of 8 at this track in the G3 Heffernan February 7 over 7f, a head behind Tom Kitten with 130lbs at $6. Form over this trip reads very well. 2nd Pick 6 Feroce Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Dominic Sutton J: Billy Egan T: Dominic Sutton	72	-	-	-	6%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign second of 11 at Rosehill in the G3 Donc Prel March 28 over 7 ½f, soft track, 1.5 len behind Welwal carrying 127lbs at $12. Previously first up, second of 8 at this track in the G3 Heffernan February 7 over 7f, a head behind Tom Kitten with 130lbs at $6. Form over this trip reads very well.
2	Gelding back from a spell of four-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation ninth of 16 at Randwick in the G1 Doncaster April 4 over 1m, soft track, 8 len behind Sheza Alibi carrying 120lbs at $21. Previously first up, fourth of 8 at this track in the G1 Futurity Stakes February 21 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Pericles carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Talented gelding with the peaks to beat these. 3rd Pick 2 Evaporate Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Blake Shinn T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	118	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of four-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation ninth of 16 at Randwick in the G1 Doncaster April 4 over 1m, soft track, 8 len behind Sheza Alibi carrying 120lbs at $21. Previously first up, fourth of 8 at this track in the G1 Futurity Stakes February 21 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Pericles carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Talented gelding with the peaks to beat these.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.