AU - Caulfield - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

9.9f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 7

103.4K

VIEW

Verdict

GILDED WATER (4) is the big unknown. He pulled up with genuine issues after dropping right out on resumption over 1 ?m and has been given a bit of time to get over that. His best form in the Spring stands out for this, if he can settle and race genuinely he'll go close. BANKERS CHOICE (1) broke through for another win at Sandown Hillside last time out, beating SMOKIN' ROMANS (2) by a short margin. Bankers Choice is back up in the weights a touch but should go close again, Smokin' Romans was a big price there but was only second up and is suited up in trip. STAR OF INDIA (5) ran very well on ground typically too wet for him at Flemington last time. His best is good enough but he's hard to catch. NELLIE LEYLAX (6) has been okay in better races his past couple, he can kick up and take catching.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Second-up. First-up after seven months ran last of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm100 on May 23 over 1m, slow going 21 len behind Pudding carrying 127lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up favourite, won by 2 len at this track Bm84 September 20 over 1 ¼m defeating Unlimited with 129lbs at $2.30. Had issues last time, his best wins this if he can bounce back. 1st Pick 4 Gilded Water Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Ben Allen T: Ciaron Maher	124	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months ran last of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm100 on May 23 over 1m, slow going 21 len behind Pudding carrying 127lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up favourite, won by 2 len at this track Bm84 September 20 over 1 ¼m defeating Unlimited with 129lbs at $2.30. Had issues last time, his best wins this if he can bounce back.
1	Form hard to fault. At the latest run won by a nose at Sandown-Hillside Hcp June 13 over 1m on a soft track defeating Smokin' Romans with 123lbs at $4.20. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm100 on May 23 over 1m, slow going neck behind Pudding with 126lbs at $16. Back to form last time and is well placed again. 2nd Pick 1 Bankers Choice Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jackson Radley T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	223	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run won by a nose at Sandown-Hillside Hcp June 13 over 1m on a soft track defeating Smokin' Romans with 123lbs at $4.20. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm100 on May 23 over 1m, slow going neck behind Pudding with 126lbs at $16. Back to form last time and is well placed again.
2	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up ran second last of 12 at this track Bm100 on May 9 over 1 ¼m, slow going 12 len behind Plymouth carrying 129lbs at $41. Second run from a spell raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Sandown-Hillside Hcp on June 13 over 1m, on a slow track, nose behind Bankers Choice with 127lbs at $26. Tried hard last time and can improve again up in trip. 3rd Pick 2 Smokin' Romans Jockey: Jabez Johnstone Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Jabez Johnstone T: Ciaron Maher	213	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up ran second last of 12 at this track Bm100 on May 9 over 1 ¼m, slow going 12 len behind Plymouth carrying 129lbs at $41. Second run from a spell raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Sandown-Hillside Hcp on June 13 over 1m, on a slow track, nose behind Bankers Choice with 127lbs at $26. Tried hard last time and can improve again up in trip.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.