AU - Caulfield - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

54.2K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

ALONG THE RIVER (2) narrowly on top. Both runs back from a spell have been good, just finding the talented Gallant Son a bit too strong at Flemington two weeks ago. He can push forward, land in a good spot and take beating here. SALSA FELLOW (1) resumed with a solid run at Flemington behind the sharp Celerity, getting home late from back in the field there. He was racing well in good 3yo races last time in and should be hard to hold out. EXPULSION (10) was a smart winner first up at Sandown Lakeside in a 0-66, coming right away late. This is a fair rise in grade but she stays right down in the weights and could go on with it. EAGLE EXPRESS (6) resumes. She's a consistent sort who kept racing well in handy races last time in. 5 ½f from a wide draw here might not be her best scenario but she can be hitting the line. DECLARED (4) won very well fresh at Murray Bridge. This is harder but he has to be respected.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on December 26 over 5f, head behind Runlikenencryption carrying 136lbs at $9. Second run from a spell raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 at Flemington Bm70 on January 10 over 5f, long-neck behind Gallant Son with 136lbs at $9.50. Will take plenty of beating. 1st Pick 2 Along The River Jockey: Jordan Childs Trainer: Michael & Luke Cerchi J: Jordan Childs T: Michael & Luke Cerchi	128	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on December 26 over 5f, head behind Runlikenencryption carrying 136lbs at $9. Second run from a spell raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 at Flemington Bm70 on January 10 over 5f, long-neck behind Gallant Son with 136lbs at $9.50. Will take plenty of beating.
1	Having second run back today. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 12 at Flemington Bm70 on December 31 over 5f, 4 len behind Celerity with 137lbs at $8. At only start last preparation 14th of 19 at Flemington Bm78 on September 13 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind Persian Spirit carrying 130lbs at $41. Solid return and will be hard to hold out. 2nd Pick 1 Salsa Fellow Jockey: Mitchell Aitken Trainer: Henry Dwyer J: Mitchell Aitken T: Henry Dwyer	155	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Having second run back today. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 12 at Flemington Bm70 on December 31 over 5f, 4 len behind Celerity with 137lbs at $8. At only start last preparation 14th of 19 at Flemington Bm78 on September 13 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind Persian Spirit carrying 130lbs at $41. Solid return and will be hard to hold out.
10	Second run back. First-up after four months won by 1.75 len at Sandown-Lakeside 0 - 66 January 8 over 5f defeating Rodriquez with 120lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on June 22 over 6f, 6 len behind Bacash with 117lbs at $4.40. Fitter and gets in light. 3rd Pick 10 Expulsion Jockey: Jamie Melham Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Jamie Melham T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	172	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months won by 1.75 len at Sandown-Lakeside 0 - 66 January 8 over 5f defeating Rodriquez with 120lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on June 22 over 6f, 6 len behind Bacash with 117lbs at $4.40. Fitter and gets in light.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.