AU - Caulfield - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

143.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

TORONADO QUEEN (3) might be the sharp improver here. The first up win was dominant at Cranbourne before fading badly down the Flemington straight in the Inglis Sprint. Fancy back around a bend here she can bounce back quickly. WINTERY (1) also comes through a race down the straight, behind Educated. She was solid there and the second to Alpha Sophie prior reads well. She maps well. PURPLE STREAK (5) is the big query in the race, off a dominant debut win at Werribee where she scored by 5.5 lengths. He maps for every chance from the gate and it feels like the sort of race for different form to emerge. ROHESIA (2) was okay in the Inglis Sprint and has claims while HIGH ON THE HILL (6) is off an easy maiden win and could measure up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Third-up today. Resuming won by 4 len at Cranbourne 3yo F Bm64 January 30 over 6f defeating Exit with 129lbs at $3.30. Last start 12th of 15 at Flemington Inglis Sprint on February 28 over 6f, 5 len behind Getta Good Feeling with 121lbs at $15. Back around a bend, she can bounce back strongly. 1st Pick 3 Toronado Queen Jockey: Logan Bates Trainer: Greg Eurell J: Logan Bates T: Greg Eurell	161	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming won by 4 len at Cranbourne 3yo F Bm64 January 30 over 6f defeating Exit with 129lbs at $3.30. Last start 12th of 15 at Flemington Inglis Sprint on February 28 over 6f, 5 len behind Getta Good Feeling with 121lbs at $15. Back around a bend, she can bounce back strongly.
1	Most recently 6th of 11 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp on February 28 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Educated with 128lbs at $8. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at this track in the G3 Peter Le Grand on February 7 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Alpha Sofie carrying 123lbs at $15. Best form goes close. 2nd Pick 1 Wintery Jockey: Tom Madden Trainer: Aaron Purcell J: Tom Madden T: Aaron Purcell	155	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Most recently 6th of 11 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp on February 28 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Educated with 128lbs at $8. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at this track in the G3 Peter Le Grand on February 7 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Alpha Sofie carrying 123lbs at $15. Best form goes close.
5	Getting off the mark on debut, won by 5.5 len at Werribee Mdn-Sw February 17 over 5 ½f defeating Watten Assett with 130lbs at $6.50. Much harder now but he can measure up. 3rd Pick 5 Purple Streak Jockey: Jamie Melham Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Jamie Melham T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	151	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Getting off the mark on debut, won by 5.5 len at Werribee Mdn-Sw February 17 over 5 ½f defeating Watten Assett with 130lbs at $6.50. Much harder now but he can measure up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.