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1:50 AM

AU - Caulfield - Race 4

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
54.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CONCHIERO (11) resumes. His form tapered off at the end of last campaign but the early runs held a lot of merit, winning a couple on the bounce before being tested in better company. First up at 7f here suits and he can look to cross early. PARADISE CITY (8) presents third up having run a good race last time behind Porter who pinched a big lead and wasn't for catching. She was the best of the closers there and should be at peak fitness now. SUPERCILIOUS (14) has hit the line well in two runs back, the latest in Listed company at Geelong. Up to 7f can suit now and she'll be hard to hold out. EVERAIN (13) resumes. He won two on the bounce to start last campaign, tested in good company thereafter. Wary here from a soft draw. LE FERRARI (1) is struggling to win but was good last time and has claims.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Conchiero silk

Gelding back from a spell of nine months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 13 at this track 3yo Hcp May 10 over 1m, 5 len behind Mary Eliza with 127lbs at $6.50. Previously first up, second of 7 at Warwick Farm Super 3yo Mdn-Sw February 5 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Spaceballs carrying 126lbs at $3.70. Smart type who looks well placed here.

1st Pick
11

Conchiero

Jockey: Ben Melham

Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

J: Ben Melham

T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

92---19%9/2

Analysis

Gelding back from a spell of nine months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 13 at this track 3yo Hcp May 10 over 1m, 5 len behind Mary Eliza with 127lbs at $6.50. Previously first up, second of 7 at Warwick Farm Super 3yo Mdn-Sw February 5 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Spaceballs carrying 126lbs at $3.70. Smart type who looks well placed here.

8
Paradise City silk

Third-up today. First-up eased back early on 8th of 10 at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm78 on December 20 over 6f, 5 len behind Gracie's Rain carrying 122lbs at $7.50. Last start 2nd of 12 at Flemington Bm74 on January 10 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Porter carrying 121lbs at $9.50. Peaks now and will take holding out.

2nd Pick
8

Paradise City

Jockey: Emily Pozman

Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

J: Emily Pozman

T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

198---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up eased back early on 8th of 10 at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm78 on December 20 over 6f, 5 len behind Gracie's Rain carrying 122lbs at $7.50. Last start 2nd of 12 at Flemington Bm74 on January 10 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Porter carrying 121lbs at $9.50. Peaks now and will take holding out.

14
Supercilious silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at Caulfield Heath Mm Classic on December 20 over 6f, 4 len behind Gin A Tonic with 126lbs at $16. Second-up 5th of 12 at Geelong in the LR Black Prl on January 3 over 6f, 3 len behind Jenni The Fox carrying 123lbs at $41. Should be charging late.

3rd Pick
14

Supercilious

Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf

Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin

J: Lachlan Neindorf

T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin

123---19%9/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at Caulfield Heath Mm Classic on December 20 over 6f, 4 len behind Gin A Tonic with 126lbs at $16. Second-up 5th of 12 at Geelong in the LR Black Prl on January 3 over 6f, 3 len behind Jenni The Fox carrying 123lbs at $41. Should be charging late.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.