AU - Caulfield - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

7.2f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 6

108.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Good little race. EXIT (1) won well on heavy ground at Flemington two back before an excusable run last time in Listed company in Adelaide. She'll get some sting out here and draws for every chance to bounce back to form. Wary of BELLA VERONA (6) who was backed into $1.75 on debut at Cranbourne and won with a bit of arrogance, looping the field from last to win by a length. Quickly up in grade but she looks a good one. Speaking of good ones, TWO TO TANGO (7) bumped into one last start in the form of Concord Connie who demolished her rivals by six lengths. Two To Tango finished second there which may end up looking like top form. BRASS IN POCKET (8) debuted behind Concord Connie at Pakenham when running on well before an easy maiden win at Sale latest, ridden positively there. She can go on with it. CHERISH ME (3) got home quite well fresh in a good race and can improve.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Last start 5th of 11 at Morphettville Parks in the LR Nitschke on April 18 over 7f, 3 len behind Rohesia with 119lbs at $3.60. The start before that came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Flemington 3yo Hcp March 28 over 7f in the wet defeating Chowdown with 119lbs at $8. Suited here and will take beating. 1st Pick 1 Exit Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Non Runner T: Ciaron Maher	198	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 11 at Morphettville Parks in the LR Nitschke on April 18 over 7f, 3 len behind Rohesia with 119lbs at $3.60. The start before that came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Flemington 3yo Hcp March 28 over 7f in the wet defeating Chowdown with 119lbs at $8. Suited here and will take beating.
6	Getting off the mark on debut, favourite, won by 1.0 len at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw April 17 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Foxsky carrying 126lbs at $1.75. Very soft win on debut, looks an exciting prospect. 2nd Pick 6 Bella Verona Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Harry Coffey T: Matt Laurie	121	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Getting off the mark on debut, favourite, won by 1.0 len at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw April 17 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Foxsky carrying 126lbs at $1.75. Very soft win on debut, looks an exciting prospect.
7	Last start 2nd of 12 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp on April 25 over 7f, 6 len behind Concord Connie carrying 123lbs at $31. The start before that 3rd of 7 at Sale Bm62 on April 8 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Rosa Aotearoa with 127lbs at $5. Beaten by a very good one last time, go close here. 3rd Pick 7 Two To Tango Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Craig Williams T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	125	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start 2nd of 12 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp on April 25 over 7f, 6 len behind Concord Connie carrying 123lbs at $31. The start before that 3rd of 7 at Sale Bm62 on April 8 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Rosa Aotearoa with 127lbs at $5. Beaten by a very good one last time, go close here.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.