AU - Caulfield - Race 4

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

9.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

55.1K

VIEW

Verdict

Giving SKIPPERS CANYON (5) another chance. He'd been racing so well all preparation until last start when struggling over 1 ½m at Sandown Hillside. They went very slowly there and he didn't have the turn of foot. Back to 1 ¼m might suit a bit better and his form prior reads very well for this. If he doesn't show up, it's a bit of a raffle. FOIRE DE TRONE (15) has won 2/3 this time in, coming home too strongly off a slow speed at Sandown Lakeside to score narrowly when last seen. She gets in very light for Jabez Johnstone whose claim is a goldmine at the moment. SAVOUR THE DREAM (2) won dominantly over this trip at Mornington last time out and a repeat of that sees him hard to beat again. PROMISED LAND (12) steps up in trip fourth up which should suit. He's come back well and looks set to peak now. PERFECT PLAY (3) has been going well in Sydney and looks nicely placed from a good gate up on speed.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	At the latest run 6th of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm84 on June 13 over 1 ½m, slow going 5 len behind Straand Deal carrying 125lbs at $4.40. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 9 at this track Bm84 on May 30 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, long-neck behind Simurgh with 125lbs at $5.50. Can forgive last time - prior form just about wins this. 1st Pick 5 Skippers Canyon Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Phillip Stokes	152	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm84 on June 13 over 1 ½m, slow going 5 len behind Straand Deal carrying 125lbs at $4.40. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 9 at this track Bm84 on May 30 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, long-neck behind Simurgh with 125lbs at $5.50. Can forgive last time - prior form just about wins this.
15	Most recently favourite, ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by a nose at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm70 June 3 over 1 5/16m on a heavy track defeating Hotinherre carrying 121lbs at $2.80. The run before that got back early 10th of 15 at Warrnambool Bm66 on May 6 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 11 len behind Inherently with 128lbs at $13. Racing well and should take holding out. 2nd Pick 15 Foire De Trone Jockey: Jabez Johnstone Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Jabez Johnstone T: Ciaron Maher	143	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Most recently favourite, ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by a nose at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm70 June 3 over 1 5/16m on a heavy track defeating Hotinherre carrying 121lbs at $2.80. The run before that got back early 10th of 15 at Warrnambool Bm66 on May 6 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 11 len behind Inherently with 128lbs at $13. Racing well and should take holding out.
2	Dual acceptor. Last start was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 3 len at Mornington Bm74 June 8 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Oak Beach carrying 131lbs at $8.50. The run before that 6th of 13 at Sandown-Hillside Bm84 on May 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Seafall with 121lbs at $31. Dominant last time and can go on with it here. 3rd Pick 2 Savour The Dream Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Bevan Laming J: Damien Thornton T: Bevan Laming	112	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Last start was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 3 len at Mornington Bm74 June 8 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Oak Beach carrying 131lbs at $8.50. The run before that 6th of 13 at Sandown-Hillside Bm84 on May 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Seafall with 121lbs at $31. Dominant last time and can go on with it here.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.