AU - Caulfield - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 7

103.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Tricky race. CUSTOM (1) resumes. She's been highly competitive against some good fillies and does pay the penalty at the weights for doing so, but second to Alpha Sophie last time in reads very well and she has a host of other ratings that say she can win, weight and all. MISS LOLA (9) broke through for a dominant maiden win at Sandown Lakeside second up and did so in good time. She can go on with it down in the weights. WRITTEN GLOW (7) is an interesting runner. She was sent out a $2.10 favourite on debut in New Zealand and won well, now with the Hayes yard. Beat very little there but represents strong connections and has trialled well, respecting. RACE FOR RULE (5) dropped back to this trip at Sandown Hillside and just missed late, she'll be hard to hold out. BIOLOGICS (3) struggled badly on the heavy going last time but can bounce back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Filly returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign fourth in a small field at Flemington in the LR Desirable Stks February 14 over 7f, 4 len behind Sass Appeal with 121lbs at $5.50. First up last campaign fourth of 9 at this track in the G3 Manfred January 24 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Space Rider with 121lbs at $4.40. Has the class form and should take beating. 1st Pick 1 Custom Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Thomas Stockdale T: Ciaron Maher	145	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Filly returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign fourth in a small field at Flemington in the LR Desirable Stks February 14 over 7f, 4 len behind Sass Appeal with 121lbs at $5.50. First up last campaign fourth of 9 at this track in the G3 Manfred January 24 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Space Rider with 121lbs at $4.40. Has the class form and should take beating.
9	Third-up today. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 12 over 6f, slow going nose behind Golden Magnate with 123lbs at $2.90. Second-up favourite, won by 1.5 len at Sandown-Lakeside Mdn-Sw June 3 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Pray Tell carrying 127lbs at $2.05. Smart win last time and looks well placed again. 2nd Pick 9 Miss Lola Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Chris Waller J: Beau Mertens T: Chris Waller	112	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 12 over 6f, slow going nose behind Golden Magnate with 123lbs at $2.90. Second-up favourite, won by 1.5 len at Sandown-Lakeside Mdn-Sw June 3 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Pray Tell carrying 127lbs at $2.05. Smart win last time and looks well placed again.
7	Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when favourite, won by 1.3 len at Taupo Mdn-Sw December 28 over 5 ½f on a soft track defeating Biding My Time with 121lbs at $2.10. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Very wary given her profile, watch the betting. 3rd Pick 7 Written Glow Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Harry Coffey T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	77	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when favourite, won by 1.3 len at Taupo Mdn-Sw December 28 over 5 ½f on a soft track defeating Biding My Time with 121lbs at $2.10. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Very wary given her profile, watch the betting.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.