AU - Caulfield - Race 2

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

9.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

91.9K

VIEW

Verdict

FEDERER (6) is an interesting runner here second up. He's always shown plenty of ability but has clearly had a few issues with just 11 starts to his name, but the return at Sandown Hillside over 1m was fantastic, getting a long way back and motoring home for third behind Perfect Ten who won last Saturday. Straight to 1 ¼m and drawn wide but Shinn booked offsets that somewhat. SIMURGH (4) is tricky, off a short spell here. He progressed nicely in his first local campaign, winning a couple over this route in similar affairs before bumping into a nice one. How forward he is off the break is the query but he's right up to this. AEOLIAN (16) was well supported here last time dropping in weight. She didn't win but ran well for fourth and should be peaking now, consider. AMLETO (2) is racing very well off a win here and should take beating again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Second run back. First-up after 10 months 3rd of 13 at Sandown-Hillside on July 22 over 1m, slow going 0.9 len behind Perfect Ten with 128lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up 4th of 10 at Rosehill on June 28 2025 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Misterkipchoge carrying 119lbs at $3.80. Lovely return, should be very hard to hold out. 1st Pick 6 Federer Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Blake Shinn T: Ciaron Maher	138	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after 10 months 3rd of 13 at Sandown-Hillside on July 22 over 1m, slow going 0.9 len behind Perfect Ten with 128lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up 4th of 10 at Rosehill on June 28 2025 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Misterkipchoge carrying 119lbs at $3.80. Lovely return, should be very hard to hold out.
4	Dual acceptor. Resumes after a break of nine weeks and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign second of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm84 June 13 over 1 ½m, soft track, a head behind Straand Deal with 126lbs at $3.20. When resuming last campaign second of 11 at Pakenham Bm70 April 23 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Factcheck carrying 128lbs at $6. Progressive stayer who can win despite the gap between runs. 2nd Pick 4 Simurgh Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Craig Williams T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	152	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Resumes after a break of nine weeks and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign second of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm84 June 13 over 1 ½m, soft track, a head behind Straand Deal with 126lbs at $3.20. When resuming last campaign second of 11 at Pakenham Bm70 April 23 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Factcheck carrying 128lbs at $6. Progressive stayer who can win despite the gap between runs.
16	Third-up today. Resuming settled back and ran on when 7th of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside on July 1 over 1m, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Oraqua with 128lbs at $10. Second-up 4th of 14 at this track on July 25 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.0 len behind Amleto with 110lbs at $4.60. Peaks now and should take beating. 3rd Pick 16 Aeolian Jockey: Declan Bates Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Declan Bates T: Ciaron Maher	112	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming settled back and ran on when 7th of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside on July 1 over 1m, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Oraqua with 128lbs at $10. Second-up 4th of 14 at this track on July 25 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.0 len behind Amleto with 110lbs at $4.60. Peaks now and should take beating.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.