AU - Caulfield - Race 2

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

89.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Siding with the resuming TAKEKO (4) for the Begg yard. She's a sparingly raced 5yo mare who was last seen bolting in with a BM74 at Moonee Valley. Clearly she's had a few problems but she profiles very well for this given her upside against a few that have more than hit their mark. LUNA CAT (9) is one of those, 6 from 46 over her career but racing very well of late. She's just found one better her past couple and gets in nicely with 117lbs after the claim. VAIN CHAMPAGNE (10) resumes. She's a lightly raced mare who has never missed the placings this trip, expect she's hard to hold out. NEXT STEP IOWA (12) has won both starts this time in with varying tactics. She's a promising sort who gets in very light and can measure up, albeit sub $3 looks skinny enough in early betting. BIANCELLI (5) is consistent. She was okay fresh in Adelaide and should be thereabouts again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation by 2 len Moonee Valley F&M Bm74 August 9 over 6f slow track defeating Thinking Of Gerty with 130lbs at $4.80. When resuming last campaign second of 7 at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm70 July 23 over 5f, soft track, 1.0 len behind Kiko carrying 129lbs at $2.45. Has upside and can pick up where she left off. 1st Pick 4 Takeko Jockey: Luke Cartwright Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Luke Cartwright T: Grahame Begg	75	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation by 2 len Moonee Valley F&M Bm74 August 9 over 6f slow track defeating Thinking Of Gerty with 130lbs at $4.80. When resuming last campaign second of 7 at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm70 July 23 over 5f, soft track, 1.0 len behind Kiko carrying 129lbs at $2.45. Has upside and can pick up where she left off.
9	Racing well recently. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 9 at this track F&M Bm78 on May 30 over 6f, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Flyer carrying 127lbs at $15. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Warrnambool Bm78 on May 7 over 5 ½f, on a wet track, nose behind Salsa Fellow with 122lbs at $15. Knocking on the door and will be hard to hold out. 2nd Pick 9 Luna Cat Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jackson Radley T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	168	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 9 at this track F&M Bm78 on May 30 over 6f, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Flyer carrying 127lbs at $15. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Warrnambool Bm78 on May 7 over 5 ½f, on a wet track, nose behind Salsa Fellow with 122lbs at $15. Knocking on the door and will be hard to hold out.
10	Resumes after a break of five-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation seventh of 9 at Flemington F&M Bm78 January 17 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Thanks Gorgeous carrying 125lbs at $8.50. Previously first up, third of 10 at Flemington F&M Bm74 December 31 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Cavalry Girl with 129lbs at $8.50. Handy mare who will take holding out. 3rd Pick 10 Vain Champagne Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Nick Ryan J: Fred W Kersley T: Nick Ryan	112	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Resumes after a break of five-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation seventh of 9 at Flemington F&M Bm78 January 17 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Thanks Gorgeous carrying 125lbs at $8.50. Previously first up, third of 10 at Flemington F&M Bm74 December 31 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Cavalry Girl with 129lbs at $8.50. Handy mare who will take holding out.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.