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5:25 AM

AU - Caulfield - Race 10

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
88.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TOUCHDOWN (5) is fresh for this having missed a run at 1 ¼m due to the recent fires at Lindsay Park. He's a progressive horse who has won his past three, dominant in good time at Caulfield Heath last time out over 1 ?m. Back to a mile here off the gap is a little niggle but he might just be too good again. YES I KNOW (12) has been racing well without winning this time in, just run down late as favourite at Flemington last week. He drops 9lbs into this on the quick backup and that could be the factor. AHHA AHHA (8) ran on strongly but just missed last start at Geelong over 7f and should be ideally suited to a mile now. ENCHANTED JENNI (10) won three on the bounce earlier in the campaign, good again her past couple. Tricky draw here but she has claims again. SUNSETS (4) may want further now but ran well fresh.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Touchdown silk

Form hard to fault. Comes off a 35 day let-up. At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Caulfield Heath Bm70 December 20 over 1m defeating Trapalanda carrying 128lbs at $1.60. The run before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Caulfield Heath Bm66 December 3 over 1m defeating Fiorenot with 133lbs at $1.50. Progressive gelding who can keep the ball rolling.

1st Pick
5

Touchdown

Jockey: Luke Currie

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Luke Currie

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

152---43%11/8

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Comes off a 35 day let-up. At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Caulfield Heath Bm70 December 20 over 1m defeating Trapalanda carrying 128lbs at $1.60. The run before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Caulfield Heath Bm66 December 3 over 1m defeating Fiorenot with 133lbs at $1.50. Progressive gelding who can keep the ball rolling.

12
Yes I Know silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 15 at Flemington Bm70 on January 17 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Fiorenot with 128lbs at $2.45. The race before that 2nd of 13 at Flemington Bm70 on December 31 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Fiorenot carrying 128lbs at $3.30. Had chance last time but gets in light here.

2nd Pick
12

Yes I Know

Jockey: Michael Dee

Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman

J: Michael Dee

T: Anthony & Sam Freedman

140---31%9/4

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 15 at Flemington Bm70 on January 17 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Fiorenot with 128lbs at $2.45. The race before that 2nd of 13 at Flemington Bm70 on December 31 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Fiorenot carrying 128lbs at $3.30. Had chance last time but gets in light here.

8
Ahha Ahha silk

At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Geelong F&M Bm74 on January 3 over 7f, nose behind Davida carrying 130lbs at $3. The race before that 5th of 12 at Cranbourne Bm70 on December 27 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Watersports with 130lbs at $4.60. Suited this trip now and rates well.

3rd Pick
8

Ahha Ahha

Jockey: Jamie Melham

Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald

J: Jamie Melham

T: Clinton Mcdonald

169---23%7/2

Analysis

At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Geelong F&M Bm74 on January 3 over 7f, nose behind Davida carrying 130lbs at $3. The race before that 5th of 12 at Cranbourne Bm70 on December 27 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Watersports with 130lbs at $4.60. Suited this trip now and rates well.

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