AU - Caulfield - Race 10

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

113.9K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Competitive race to finish. If PERSIAN SPIRIT (13) replicates what he did on the clock last start he'll take a power of beating. He got to the right lanes at Flemington on wet ground but destroyed his rivals by 4.5 lengths in fast time. Not nearly as well in this time going up 7lbs in a tougher race but he's hard to ignore. HERE TO SHOCK (1) is the proven class. He's been contesting largely better races than this for a while, although was a bit disappointing in the G3 Moonga Stakes here last time. Freshened for this, drawn well and gets Zahra on, expecting a better run. BIG SWINGER (14) was well supported fresh down the Flemington straight, running well for third with improvement to come. He's always had a bit of boom on him, this will be a good test. AMENABLE (6) stuck on well here fresh behind Zou Sensation. Fitter now and drawn ideally, he should run well. Betting the best guide for CRAIG (11) off a year-long spell. He's absolutely good enough.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
13	Racing well recently. At the latest run ran on strongly from last on the turn and scored a big 4.5 len win at Flemington Bm90 November 4 over 7f in soft going defeating Sunshineinmypocket with 119lbs at $4.80. The start before that 4th of 9 at Geelong Dual Choice Plt on October 23 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Naval Academy carrying 125lbs at $4.80. Huge win in fast time latest, he'll take plenty of beating. 1st Pick 13 Persian Spirit Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Symon Wilde J: Harry Coffey T: Symon Wilde	208	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run ran on strongly from last on the turn and scored a big 4.5 len win at Flemington Bm90 November 4 over 7f in soft going defeating Sunshineinmypocket with 119lbs at $4.80. The start before that 4th of 9 at Geelong Dual Choice Plt on October 23 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Naval Academy carrying 125lbs at $4.80. Huge win in fast time latest, he'll take plenty of beating.
1	Returns from a 42-day let-up. Most recently 6th of 9 at this track in the G3 Moonga Stks on October 18 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Private Eye with 132lbs at $9. The run before that 9th of 15 at this track in the G1 Rup Clarke on September 20 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Sepals carrying 128lbs at $31. Big weight but his best just about wins. 2nd Pick 1 Here To Shock Jockey: Mark Zahra Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Mark Zahra T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	158	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Returns from a 42-day let-up. Most recently 6th of 9 at this track in the G3 Moonga Stks on October 18 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Private Eye with 132lbs at $9. The run before that 9th of 15 at this track in the G1 Rup Clarke on September 20 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Sepals carrying 128lbs at $31. Big weight but his best just about wins.
14	Second-up. First-up after five months held ground to the line 3rd of 9 at Flemington in the LR Fisher Stakes on November 8 over 6f, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Need Some Luck with 119lbs at $2.90. Previously second-up got back early 5th of 7 at Randwick in the G2 Arrowfield on April 12 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Enriched with 125lbs at $3.20. Did enough fresh on tough ground, respecting. 3rd Pick 14 Big Swinger Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Charlotte Littlefield J: Ben Allen T: Charlotte Littlefield	122	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months held ground to the line 3rd of 9 at Flemington in the LR Fisher Stakes on November 8 over 6f, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Need Some Luck with 119lbs at $2.90. Previously second-up got back early 5th of 7 at Randwick in the G2 Arrowfield on April 12 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Enriched with 125lbs at $3.20. Did enough fresh on tough ground, respecting.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Stakes Race

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Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.