AU - Caulfield - Race 10

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

88.0K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

TOUCHDOWN (5) is fresh for this having missed a run at 1 ¼m due to the recent fires at Lindsay Park. He's a progressive horse who has won his past three, dominant in good time at Caulfield Heath last time out over 1 ?m. Back to a mile here off the gap is a little niggle but he might just be too good again. YES I KNOW (12) has been racing well without winning this time in, just run down late as favourite at Flemington last week. He drops 9lbs into this on the quick backup and that could be the factor. AHHA AHHA (8) ran on strongly but just missed last start at Geelong over 7f and should be ideally suited to a mile now. ENCHANTED JENNI (10) won three on the bounce earlier in the campaign, good again her past couple. Tricky draw here but she has claims again. SUNSETS (4) may want further now but ran well fresh.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Form hard to fault. Comes off a 35 day let-up. At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Caulfield Heath Bm70 December 20 over 1m defeating Trapalanda carrying 128lbs at $1.60. The run before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Caulfield Heath Bm66 December 3 over 1m defeating Fiorenot with 133lbs at $1.50. Progressive gelding who can keep the ball rolling. 1st Pick 5 Touchdown Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Luke Currie T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	152	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes off a 35 day let-up. At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Caulfield Heath Bm70 December 20 over 1m defeating Trapalanda carrying 128lbs at $1.60. The run before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Caulfield Heath Bm66 December 3 over 1m defeating Fiorenot with 133lbs at $1.50. Progressive gelding who can keep the ball rolling.
12	Racing well recently. At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 15 at Flemington Bm70 on January 17 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Fiorenot with 128lbs at $2.45. The race before that 2nd of 13 at Flemington Bm70 on December 31 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Fiorenot carrying 128lbs at $3.30. Had chance last time but gets in light here. 2nd Pick 12 Yes I Know Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Michael Dee T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	140	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 15 at Flemington Bm70 on January 17 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Fiorenot with 128lbs at $2.45. The race before that 2nd of 13 at Flemington Bm70 on December 31 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Fiorenot carrying 128lbs at $3.30. Had chance last time but gets in light here.
8	At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Geelong F&M Bm74 on January 3 over 7f, nose behind Davida carrying 130lbs at $3. The race before that 5th of 12 at Cranbourne Bm70 on December 27 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Watersports with 130lbs at $4.60. Suited this trip now and rates well. 3rd Pick 8 Ahha Ahha Jockey: Jamie Melham Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald J: Jamie Melham T: Clinton Mcdonald	169	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Geelong F&M Bm74 on January 3 over 7f, nose behind Davida carrying 130lbs at $3. The race before that 5th of 12 at Cranbourne Bm70 on December 27 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Watersports with 130lbs at $4.60. Suited this trip now and rates well.

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