AU - Caulfield - Race 1

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

9.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

57.4K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

XTRA RUSH (7) ticks plenty of boxes here. He was beaten for the first time when last seen at Flemington but tried hard in third, and looks to have found the ideal scenario here. Back to Caulfield will suit and there's no pressure for the front. Expect Bates to lead easily and start moving at the 2f mark which will make him very tough to run down. FOUJITA SAN (1) was excellent first up off a short spell, getting home strongly for second and beating Xtra Rush home in the process. Just how big a start he gives around here is the query. SUNSETS (8) struggled in the same race having looked to be going well prior. He could be an improver. GREY ICE (9) won narrowly at Cranbourne last time in easier company but drops in weight and could measure up. STYLISH SECRET (5) struggled over 1 ?/16m last time but won here prior and will be strong late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up won by a nose at Caulfield Heath Bm66 February 9 over 1m defeating Single Choice carrying 133lbs at $3. Last start 3rd of 11 at Flemington Bm84 on February 28 over 1 ¼m, 2.25 len behind Ambassadorial with 123lbs at $5.50. Gets map favours and that can prove key. 1st Pick 7 Xtra Rush Jockey: Logan Bates Trainer: Richard Laming J: Logan Bates T: Richard Laming	158	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up won by a nose at Caulfield Heath Bm66 February 9 over 1m defeating Single Choice carrying 133lbs at $3. Last start 3rd of 11 at Flemington Bm84 on February 28 over 1 ¼m, 2.25 len behind Ambassadorial with 123lbs at $5.50. Gets map favours and that can prove key.
1	Second-up. First-up after two months 2nd of 11 at Flemington Bm84 on February 28 over 1 ¼m, long-neck behind Ambassadorial carrying 127lbs at $31. Previously second-up got back early 10th of 13 at this track in the G3 Coongy on October 15 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Wootton Verni with 119lbs at $21. Big run fresh and will be charging late. 2nd Pick 1 Foujita San Jockey: Ryan Houston Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Ryan Houston T: Shane Jackson	168	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months 2nd of 11 at Flemington Bm84 on February 28 over 1 ¼m, long-neck behind Ambassadorial carrying 127lbs at $31. Previously second-up got back early 10th of 13 at this track in the G3 Coongy on October 15 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Wootton Verni with 119lbs at $21. Big run fresh and will be charging late.
8	At the latest run 8th of 11 at Flemington Bm84 on February 28 over 1 ¼m, 5.5 len behind Ambassadorial with 125lbs at $8.50. The race before that 6th of 14 at Flemington Bm78 on February 14 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Tarvue with 126lbs at $8. Can do much better. 3rd Pick 8 Sunsets Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	145	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis At the latest run 8th of 11 at Flemington Bm84 on February 28 over 1 ¼m, 5.5 len behind Ambassadorial with 125lbs at $8.50. The race before that 6th of 14 at Flemington Bm78 on February 14 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Tarvue with 126lbs at $8. Can do much better.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.