AU - Ballarat - Race 9

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

24.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Keen to stick with AUTUMN IN GRINZING (7) who won very impressively first up at Seymour, beating one with handy maiden form and doing it easily. She looks like one that could end up in some better 3yo fillies' races over further and this looks an ideal spot second up. LA BARRITA (5) and ALMOST AN ANGEL (3) both come through the Listed Atlantic Jewel Stakes where they struggled in a strong affair won by Pretty Baby. La Barrita was only first up there and started shorter so the leaning of that pair is to her. NOTIFIED (6) is off a let-up but looks a handy staying filly, while RUSSIAN DUCHESS (1) can roll forward and take some catching.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Third race start. First start eased back early on 9th of 12 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Seymour on May 21 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Piazza carrying 123lbs at $16. Went for a spell before returning won by 3.5 len in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 27 over 7f in the wet defeating Keen Observer carrying 123lbs at $10. Sure to go well again. Dominant fresh and will be very hard to beat again. 1st Pick 7 Autumn In Grinzing Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Danny O'brien J: Damien Thornton T: Danny O'brien	155	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third race start. First start eased back early on 9th of 12 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Seymour on May 21 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Piazza carrying 123lbs at $16. Went for a spell before returning won by 3.5 len in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 27 over 7f in the wet defeating Keen Observer carrying 123lbs at $10. Sure to go well again. Dominant fresh and will be very hard to beat again.
5	Second-up. First-up after two months ran second last of 11 in the LR Atlantic Jewel Stakes at Sandown-Hillside on September 5 over 6 ½f, slow going 10 len behind Pretty Baby carrying 123lbs at $19. Previously second-up 6th of 8 in the LR Bill Carter (Lancaster) Stakes at Doomben on May 23 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind I Am Dirty carrying 125lbs at $4.80. Can do much better here. 2nd Pick 5 La Barrita Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Damian Lane T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	142	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months ran second last of 11 in the LR Atlantic Jewel Stakes at Sandown-Hillside on September 5 over 6 ½f, slow going 10 len behind Pretty Baby carrying 123lbs at $19. Previously second-up 6th of 8 in the LR Bill Carter (Lancaster) Stakes at Doomben on May 23 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind I Am Dirty carrying 125lbs at $4.80. Can do much better here.
3	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up got back early 8th of 16 in the G3 Quezette Stakes at Caulfield on August 15 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Natural Fling with 123lbs at $81. Second run from a spell 9th of 11 in the LR Atlantic Jewel Stakes at Sandown-Hillside on September 5 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Pretty Baby carrying 123lbs at $31. Way back in grade and can improve. 3rd Pick 3 Almost An Angel Jockey: Luke Nolen Trainer: Robbie Griffiths J: Luke Nolen T: Robbie Griffiths	115	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up got back early 8th of 16 in the G3 Quezette Stakes at Caulfield on August 15 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Natural Fling with 123lbs at $81. Second run from a spell 9th of 11 in the LR Atlantic Jewel Stakes at Sandown-Hillside on September 5 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Pretty Baby carrying 123lbs at $31. Way back in grade and can improve.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.