AU - Ballarat - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

19.2K

VIEW

Verdict

KAWA (8) could only manage fifth when resuming two runs back then improved last start when she found a couple better over 7f at Horsham but was only beaten 0.6 lengths. With those two runs under her belt and on the home deck she can turn in a career peak. POSITIVO (3) bounced back last start and scored by 2.25 lengths as public elect over 1m at Echuca, which was just another good showing in a consistent run of form. He's racing too well to leave out. TREASUREFLIGHT (4) was out of the money when resuming from a spell last start over 7f at this track, beaten 7 lengths, but strips fitter and has the talent to win this with the right run from the tricky wide draw. ALOYSIUS (1) returned from a spell when he was beaten 3.5 lengths into fifth over 6f at this track at his first run for the new stable. Fitter for that and up 1 ½f, which looks a nice equation. GARFIELD (7) is on the back-up after a nice return at Kyneton and can improve again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 11 at Wangaratta F&M Bm62 on February 8 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Organics carrying 131lbs at $8.50. Second-up held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at Horsham Bm56 on February 24 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Diamond War with 132lbs at $6.50. Strikes the right race for this stage of the preparation. 1st Pick 8 Kawa Jockey: Eoin Walsh Trainer: Matt Cumani J: Eoin Walsh T: Matt Cumani	105	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 11 at Wangaratta F&M Bm62 on February 8 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Organics carrying 131lbs at $8.50. Second-up held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at Horsham Bm56 on February 24 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Diamond War with 132lbs at $6.50. Strikes the right race for this stage of the preparation.
3	Most recently favourite, won by 2.25 len at Echuca Bm56 March 8 over 1m defeating Mercurial Boy with 132lbs at $3.60. The start before that 4th of 13 at Kilmore 0 - 56 on February 13 over 1m, 0.8 len behind King Alla carrying 132lbs at $5.50. Winner of two of his past three, so must be respected. 2nd Pick 3 Positivo Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Saab Hasan J: Brad Rawiller T: Saab Hasan	153	-	-	-	23%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently favourite, won by 2.25 len at Echuca Bm56 March 8 over 1m defeating Mercurial Boy with 132lbs at $3.60. The start before that 4th of 13 at Kilmore 0 - 56 on February 13 over 1m, 0.8 len behind King Alla carrying 132lbs at $5.50. Winner of two of his past three, so must be respected.
4	Second run back. First-up after nine months 7th of 11 at this track Bm62 on February 22 over 7f, 7 len behind Roulette King with 130lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Moonee Valley 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 29 2024 over 6f, 5 len behind Pacific Luck with 128lbs at $41. Rates highly and should improve sharply. 3rd Pick 4 Treasureflight Jockey: Cian Macredmond Trainer: Matt Cumani J: Cian Macredmond T: Matt Cumani	85	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after nine months 7th of 11 at this track Bm62 on February 22 over 7f, 7 len behind Roulette King with 130lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Moonee Valley 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 29 2024 over 6f, 5 len behind Pacific Luck with 128lbs at $41. Rates highly and should improve sharply.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.