AU - Ballarat - Race 7

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

10.1f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

19.0K

VIEW

Verdict

AMLETO (2) raced on the speed from the outset last start and was beaten just under a length over 1 ¼m. That followed a good first-up run and while he doesn't win often, the prep is trending the right way and this looks the perfect third-up option. HIGH TEMPO (8) has been beaten half-a-length or less in 4 of her past 5 starts, so she's a model of consistency and can't be dismissed despite the potentially tricky wide draw. Conversely, WINSTON (7) is drawn ideally and has been around the mark in most starts this prep, so should be ready to go now. BELLONADO (4) has a wide gate to overcome, but showed great improvement second-up, will have come on from that and should be even better suited up to this trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 2nd of 16 at Warrnambool Bm66 on May 5 over 1 ¹/16m, on a wet track, head behind Like A Tiger with 134lbs at $8. Second run from a spell raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Bm74 on May 22 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind My Roca Fella with 126lbs at $2.45. Doesn't win often but strikes the right race to break through. 1st Pick 2 Amleto Jockey: Declan Bates Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Declan Bates T: Ciaron Maher	178	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 2nd of 16 at Warrnambool Bm66 on May 5 over 1 ¹/16m, on a wet track, head behind Like A Tiger with 134lbs at $8. Second run from a spell raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Bm74 on May 22 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind My Roca Fella with 126lbs at $2.45. Doesn't win often but strikes the right race to break through.
8	Recent form sound. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 12 at this track Bm66 on May 24 over 1 ¼m, head behind Breathless Spirit with 129lbs at $6.50. Before that 4th of 16 at Warrnambool Bm66 on May 5 over 1 ¹/16m, on a wet track, 2 len behind Like A Tiger with 129lbs at $11. One of the prime contenders. 2nd Pick 8 High Tempo Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	112	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 12 at this track Bm66 on May 24 over 1 ¼m, head behind Breathless Spirit with 129lbs at $6.50. Before that 4th of 16 at Warrnambool Bm66 on May 5 over 1 ¹/16m, on a wet track, 2 len behind Like A Tiger with 129lbs at $11. One of the prime contenders.
7	Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 11 at Pakenham Bm62 on May 29 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 1.75 len behind Mahers Landing with 134lbs at $5.50. The race before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 12 at Pakenham Bm66 on May 15 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Aristonous carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Top chance on his best form. 3rd Pick 7 Winston Jockey: Sam Kennedy Trainer: John Mcardle J: Sam Kennedy T: John Mcardle	126	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 11 at Pakenham Bm62 on May 29 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 1.75 len behind Mahers Landing with 134lbs at $5.50. The race before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 12 at Pakenham Bm66 on May 15 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Aristonous carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Top chance on his best form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.