AU - Ballarat - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

24.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Very tricky. TOUGH ROMANCE (13) failed to beat a runner home on resumption at Caulfield Heath but that was a much stronger race, as was the G1 Blue Diamond before a spell. He can be a sharp improver off a freshen and draws for every hope. NO LIMITATION (5) has been about the mark without threatening in two runs back, beaten 1.5 lengths in town second up. Backs up quickly and should go well. YOLO (6) just found one better fresh and should come on from that. Sets up for a nice run and is in the mix. ZIGGY BAMA (9) won narrowly on debut at Ballarat Synthetic. Was well backed there and is expected to improve sharply. DREAM ENUFF (7) resumes with a nice profile, watch the betting.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
13	Second-up. Comes off a 41-day let-up. First-up after six months sat behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 9 in a 3yo Hcp at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Stakes with 120lbs at $14. Previously second-up ran last of 16 in the G1 Blue Diamond Stakes at Caulfield on February 21 over 6f, 12 len behind Streisand carrying 126lbs at $71. Should be a sharp improver. 1st Pick 13 Tough Romance Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Harry Coffey T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	128	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Second-up. Comes off a 41-day let-up. First-up after six months sat behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 9 in a 3yo Hcp at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Stakes with 120lbs at $14. Previously second-up ran last of 16 in the G1 Blue Diamond Stakes at Caulfield on February 21 over 6f, 12 len behind Streisand carrying 126lbs at $71. Should be a sharp improver.
5	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming sat on the pace before fading 7th of 11 in a F&M Bm74 at Sandown-Hillside on August 22 over 5f, in the wet, 6 len behind Final Moment with 126lbs at $12. Last start 5th of 8 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Hillside on September 9 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Jakivy carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Can improve again and take beating. 2nd Pick 5 No Limitation Jockey: Dakotah Keane Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Dakotah Keane T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	99	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming sat on the pace before fading 7th of 11 in a F&M Bm74 at Sandown-Hillside on August 22 over 5f, in the wet, 6 len behind Final Moment with 126lbs at $12. Last start 5th of 8 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Hillside on September 9 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Jakivy carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Can improve again and take beating.
6	Second-up. First-up after five months held ground to the line 2nd of 11 in a Bm56 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 31 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Tennessee Spirit carrying 137lbs at $3.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 in a 0 - 66 at Sandown-Lakeside on January 8 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Expulsion with 125lbs at $3.70. Fitter and best form reads well. 3rd Pick 6 Yolo Jockey: Sarah Field Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Sarah Field T: Ciaron Maher	163	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months held ground to the line 2nd of 11 in a Bm56 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 31 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Tennessee Spirit carrying 137lbs at $3.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 in a 0 - 66 at Sandown-Lakeside on January 8 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Expulsion with 125lbs at $3.70. Fitter and best form reads well.

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A female horse that is four years of age or under.

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A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.