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Resulted

AU - Ballarat - Race 6

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
19.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VILLA CAPITALISTA (4) is a horse that's always appeared to have had talent but might have just taken some time putting it all together. Looked pretty good breaking the maiden last start and the confidence from that could carry him to another win, especially from this favourable draw. CHEEKY CONTIKI (7) resumes after disappointing as favourite following a nice maiden win but recent jumpouts suggest he's come back well. UNOBSCURED (8) was well fancied when resuming at Sale but disappointed. Had jumped out well prior and was tested in some handy races last time, so it might pay to give her another go. STEAMY MIST (9) missed the frame when resuming last start over 5f at Pakenham but wasn't all that far from the winner. Races well when second-up and can feature.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Villa Capitalista silk

Third-up today. Resuming made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 13 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 14 over 5f, long-neck behind Lonstar carrying 131lbs at $4.20. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.0 len at Ararat Mdn-Sw March 3 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Fashion World carrying 131lbs at $2.60. Nice win last start and strikes the right race to go on with it.

1st Pick
4

Villa Capitalista

Jockey: John Allen

Trainer: Tom Dabernig

J: John Allen

T: Tom Dabernig

140---23%

Scratched

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 13 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 14 over 5f, long-neck behind Lonstar carrying 131lbs at $4.20. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.0 len at Ararat Mdn-Sw March 3 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Fashion World carrying 131lbs at $2.60. Nice win last start and strikes the right race to go on with it.

3
Buvelot silk

Last start ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Pakenham Mdn-Sw February 26 over 5 ½f defeating Bee Admired carrying 131lbs at $4.40. The run before that 6th of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on February 12 over 6f, 5 len behind Plunger with 131lbs at $61. Emphatic maiden winner last start and draws to get his chance again.

2nd Pick
3

Buvelot

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Robbie Griffiths

J: Non Runner

T: Robbie Griffiths

100---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Last start ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Pakenham Mdn-Sw February 26 over 5 ½f defeating Bee Admired carrying 131lbs at $4.40. The run before that 6th of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on February 12 over 6f, 5 len behind Plunger with 131lbs at $61. Emphatic maiden winner last start and draws to get his chance again.

7
Cheeky Contiki silk

Resuming after a six-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation seventh of 11 at Tatura Bm56 September 8 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Balgowan carrying 129lbs at $2.50. On debut favourite, won by nose Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw August 25 over 5f defeating Bark with 121lbs at $7. Resumes after a recent trial win. Capable of a bold return.

3rd Pick
7

Cheeky Contiki

Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Daniel Stackhouse

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

89---15%

Analysis

Resuming after a six-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation seventh of 11 at Tatura Bm56 September 8 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Balgowan carrying 129lbs at $2.50. On debut favourite, won by nose Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw August 25 over 5f defeating Bark with 121lbs at $7. Resumes after a recent trial win. Capable of a bold return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.