AU - Ballarat - Race 5

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

19.0K

VIEW

Verdict

BIG ROOSTER (2) broke his maiden three starts back and has not been far away since, most recently when beaten 2.25 lengths into third over 6f at Hamilton. Draws to play a key role once again. REGAL ASCEND (11) progressed nicely last start when she worked home well to finish a close second over 6f at Mornington after missing the placings at the previous appearance. Needs to be at her best to beat this field but she cannot be overlooked. DANCING DOLLY (8) looked like she'd turned the corner last prep with back-to-back wins, but hasn't got into the top three since and while she will need luck from the draw she was kept up to the mark with a recent jumpout win. Gets her chance here. JAWSOME ROB (3) will find this tougher than last start, but he was first-up there and looks progressive. GREY SECRET (6) was poor at the first run for the new stable but ran well in much better races than this earlier in the year, so it might pay to give another chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Last start eased back early on 3rd in a small field at Hamilton 0-62 on May 26 over 6f, on a wet track, 2.25 len behind Tori's Dee with 131lbs at $2.70. The race before that 5th of 14 at Warrnambool Bm62 on May 7 over 6 ½f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind The Narrator carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Bold showing expected. 1st Pick 2 Big Rooster Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Symon Wilde J: Thomas Stockdale T: Symon Wilde	117	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Last start eased back early on 3rd in a small field at Hamilton 0-62 on May 26 over 6f, on a wet track, 2.25 len behind Tori's Dee with 131lbs at $2.70. The race before that 5th of 14 at Warrnambool Bm62 on May 7 over 6 ½f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind The Narrator carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Bold showing expected.
11	Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 at Mornington Bm56 on May 25 over 6f, on a slow track, neck behind Ania carrying 137lbs at $8.50. Before that second last of 11 at Geelong Bm56 on April 10 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Short Reply with 132lbs at $9. Hard to beat on that latest effort. 2nd Pick 11 Regal Ascend Jockey: Sam Kennedy Trainer: John Mcardle J: Sam Kennedy T: John Mcardle	118	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 at Mornington Bm56 on May 25 over 6f, on a slow track, neck behind Ania carrying 137lbs at $8.50. Before that second last of 11 at Geelong Bm56 on April 10 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Short Reply with 132lbs at $9. Hard to beat on that latest effort.
8	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Not raced for 49 days. Resuming 4th of 8 at Bendigo 0 - 62 on March 27 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Louis Barthas carrying 128lbs at $1.70. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Cranbourne Bm62 on April 24 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Couldthisbetheone with 128lbs at $3. Been costly over the journey but ready now after a couple of runs back. 3rd Pick 8 Dancing Dolly Jockey: Declan Bates Trainer: Archie Alexander J: Declan Bates T: Archie Alexander	117	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Not raced for 49 days. Resuming 4th of 8 at Bendigo 0 - 62 on March 27 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Louis Barthas carrying 128lbs at $1.70. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Cranbourne Bm62 on April 24 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Couldthisbetheone with 128lbs at $3. Been costly over the journey but ready now after a couple of runs back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.