AU - Ballarat - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

30.3K

VIEW

Verdict

KEEN OBSERVER (11) has just found one better in all three starts to date, beaten in the market all three times but running well, no match for what looks a talented filly at Seymour last time out. Doubt he has to do any more to be breaking through here. EGYPTIAN THORN (5) resumes for his second campaign. He was narrowly beaten in his first two career starts before a sound effort as favourite at Swan Hill. Should be ready to run well here. PURGATORIO (13) wasn't far away fresh at Seymour over this trip and should come on from that. Rolls forward and is in the mix. GENOMIC (6) resumes. He showed ability in some handy races last time in and should go well fresh. APOCALYPSE (8) is a Wild Ruler gelding for the McEvoy yard who can run well. Watch the market.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Form hard to fault. Most recently 2nd in a small field in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 27 over 7f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Autumn In Grinzing carrying 128lbs at $1.80. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Geelong on August 14 over 6f, on heavy track, 0.5 len behind Greenwich Boy carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Rolls forward and can go one better. 1st Pick 11 Keen Observer Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Michael Dee T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	209	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 2nd in a small field in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 27 over 7f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Autumn In Grinzing carrying 128lbs at $1.80. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Geelong on August 14 over 6f, on heavy track, 0.5 len behind Greenwich Boy carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Rolls forward and can go one better.
5	Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 14 at Swan Hill Mdn-Sw April 12 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Romuald with 130lbs at $2.15. On debut second of 14 at Seymour Mdn-Sw February 20 over 6 ½f, a head behind Vim Vitae carrying 130lbs at $20. Has ability and will take beating. 2nd Pick 5 Egyptian Thorn Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell J: Damian Lane T: Lloyd Kennewell	87	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 14 at Swan Hill Mdn-Sw April 12 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Romuald with 130lbs at $2.15. On debut second of 14 at Seymour Mdn-Sw February 20 over 6 ½f, a head behind Vim Vitae carrying 130lbs at $20. Has ability and will take beating.
13	Second-up. Promising on debut 3rd of 12 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Echuca on April 16 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Mull Of Kintyre with 128lbs at $2.90. Returned from break sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 27 over 6f, on a wet track, 1.1 len behind Cliff Runner carrying 126lbs at $3.70. Will be hard to beat. 3rd Pick 13 Purgatorio Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	148	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Second-up. Promising on debut 3rd of 12 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Echuca on April 16 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Mull Of Kintyre with 128lbs at $2.90. Returned from break sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 27 over 6f, on a wet track, 1.1 len behind Cliff Runner carrying 126lbs at $3.70. Will be hard to beat.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.