AU - Ballarat - Race 3

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

53.3K

VIEW

Verdict

Rich maiden that is part of the Up & Coming Series and a number of the combatants come through the same races, one over 6f at Caulfield and another over 6 ½f at Ararat. The Caulfield one naturally looks stronger and HOT SAND (4) was first home of those engaged here. He was specked at decent odds and was strong through the line, so the step to 7f looks a plus. GENOMIC (3) did pull ground off Hot Sand late, though, and he was on debut there so he's probably open to even more improvement. OYSTER LANE (7) split Hot Sand and Geonomic but he did appear to have every chance on-speed but gets the chance to dictate again from the inside alley. CORVIGLIA (2) made debut four months ago at Pakenham when finished third, beaten only 1.25 lengths when well-backed. Fitter for recent trials and should be in the mix fresh. LIVE FOREVER (5) finished like Chatauqua to just miss in the Ararat race. He's the horse to take out of that race, especially up to 7f.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Second run back. First-up after five months sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 4 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Melian with 128lbs at $9.50. Previously second-up second last of 7 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo C&G-Qlty on September 27 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Navy Pilot carrying 119lbs at $81. Gave a sight when specked at a price in a $100k metro maiden last start, so should measure up here. 1st Pick 4 Hot Sand Jockey: Ryan Hurdle Trainer: Bill Papazaharoudakis J: Ryan Hurdle T: Bill Papazaharoudakis	127	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 4 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Melian with 128lbs at $9.50. Previously second-up second last of 7 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo C&G-Qlty on September 27 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Navy Pilot carrying 119lbs at $81. Gave a sight when specked at a price in a $100k metro maiden last start, so should measure up here.
3	At debut, 5th of 10 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 4 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Melian carrying 128lbs at $9. Improver who looks ideally placed here. Not far behind Hot Sand and Oyster Lane last start, so has to be considered. 2nd Pick 3 Genomic Jockey: Patrick Moloney Trainer: Robbie Griffiths J: Patrick Moloney T: Robbie Griffiths	88	-	-	-	20%
Analysis At debut, 5th of 10 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 4 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Melian carrying 128lbs at $9. Improver who looks ideally placed here. Not far behind Hot Sand and Oyster Lane last start, so has to be considered.
7	Most recently 4th of 10 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 4 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Melian with 128lbs at $5.50. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on February 12 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Plunger carrying 130lbs at $4. Best is more than capable and inside alley could prove a big advantage. 3rd Pick 7 Oyster Lane Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: John Allen T: Ciaron Maher	138	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Most recently 4th of 10 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 4 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Melian with 128lbs at $5.50. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on February 12 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Plunger carrying 130lbs at $4. Best is more than capable and inside alley could prove a big advantage.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).