AU - Ballarat - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

22.5K

VIEW

Verdict

CIRCUS CIRCUS (2) has struggled to get continuity into her racing, but might be ready to do so this prep with the benefit of previous racing. Beaten as favourite first up, but did have to make up a bit of ground and can settle a little closer here from the low draw. SIRIUSLY BRIGHT (10) comes through the same race as KAPOLEI (6) and was stronger late than that horse despite being headed by her inside the furlong. Kapolei should be at peak fitness now and should feature again. There was a lot to like about the way AZULITA (1) finished off in a recent Kyneton jumpout win and the inside gate might not be a huge advantage if she's ridden on raceday like she was in that trial but she looks to have a big finish. TAN TAT ART (11) got within 3.5 lengths of Yes Yoshi before being turned out, which looks a handy form reference, and she's trialled well ahead of the return.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Having second run back today. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 8 at Pakenham F&M Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Le Notre with 128lbs at $2.30. At only start last preparation 5th of 8 at Pakenham 3yo F Mdn-Sw on March 5 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Sweet Vixen carrying 126lbs at $5.50. Fitter and worth following up. 1st Pick 2 Circus Circus Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Billy Egan T: Grahame Begg	160	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Having second run back today. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 8 at Pakenham F&M Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Le Notre with 128lbs at $2.30. At only start last preparation 5th of 8 at Pakenham 3yo F Mdn-Sw on March 5 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Sweet Vixen carrying 126lbs at $5.50. Fitter and worth following up.
10	Raced two times to date. When well in the market at debut, 6th of 10 at Werribee 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 14 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Privateer with 123lbs at $4. Second-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Bendigo 3yo F Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Cresta Crystal with 126lbs at $4.40. Can feature with any luck. 2nd Pick 10 Siriusly Bright Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Matt Laurie	81	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Raced two times to date. When well in the market at debut, 6th of 10 at Werribee 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 14 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Privateer with 123lbs at $4. Second-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Bendigo 3yo F Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Cresta Crystal with 126lbs at $4.40. Can feature with any luck.
6	Lining up for just third start. At debut, 4th in a small field at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 5f, 3 len behind Mad About Magnus with 125lbs at $6.50. Last start 4th of 9 at Bendigo 3yo F Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 5 ½f, 2.75 len behind Cresta Crystal with 126lbs at $5. Nice effort in a handy race last start and should be ready now. 3rd Pick 6 Kapolei Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Danny O'brien J: Jake Noonan T: Danny O'brien	92	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Lining up for just third start. At debut, 4th in a small field at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 5f, 3 len behind Mad About Magnus with 125lbs at $6.50. Last start 4th of 9 at Bendigo 3yo F Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 5 ½f, 2.75 len behind Cresta Crystal with 126lbs at $5. Nice effort in a handy race last start and should be ready now.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

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An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

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A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).