AU - Ballarat - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.7K

VIEW

Verdict

IT'S ALL CALM (7) has only had the two starts but finished fourth at Kyneton over 7 ?f last start when first-up, beaten 4 lengths. Will be better for that outing, which suggested the step up to this prep would be of benefit and this does look a race with a long tail. INSUBORDINATE (6) is also drawn out but has improvement to come, having resumed from a spell last start when a three-length seventh over 6 ½f at Warrnambool. SHARE THE PENNIES (11) hit the frame two starts ago at Seymour but ran below par last time when sixth and beaten 8 lengths over 1m at this track. This is a nice drop in grade so she is perfectly placed to improve. LADY OF STEEL (8) ran a better race last start, finishing 1.5 lengths away in fourth over 1m at Ararat and has a fitness edge on most rivals here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Second-up. First start second last of 10 at Gold Coast Mdn-Sw on February 8 2025 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Toronado Deluxe with 118lbs at $15. Went for a break before returning 4th of 9 at Kyneton 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on February 27 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Pick Wisely with 127lbs at $26. Adequate first-up and suited up to this trip in a race of little depth. 1st Pick 7 It's All Calm Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Julius Sandhu J: Jake Noonan T: Julius Sandhu	128	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Second-up. First start second last of 10 at Gold Coast Mdn-Sw on February 8 2025 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Toronado Deluxe with 118lbs at $15. Went for a break before returning 4th of 9 at Kyneton 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on February 27 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Pick Wisely with 127lbs at $26. Adequate first-up and suited up to this trip in a race of little depth.
4	Third-up today. First-up from last on the turn 7th of 14 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on February 20 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Sabertooth with 131lbs at $31. Second-up 4th of 8 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on March 12 over 7f, 6 len behind Titan's Spirit carrying 131lbs at $11. Draw hurts but fitter for two runs and ready to fire now up to 1m. 2nd Pick 4 Sacre Bleu Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Reece Goodwin J: Non Runner T: Reece Goodwin	132	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today. First-up from last on the turn 7th of 14 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on February 20 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Sabertooth with 131lbs at $31. Second-up 4th of 8 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on March 12 over 7f, 6 len behind Titan's Spirit carrying 131lbs at $11. Draw hurts but fitter for two runs and ready to fire now up to 1m.
6	Second run back. First-up after 16 months got back early 7th of 11 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on March 9 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind Transporter with 127lbs at $51. Previously second-up 6th of 9 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on October 10 2024 over 5f, 7 len behind Bella Cinque carrying 127lbs at $151. Nicely placed and expected to go well. 3rd Pick 6 Insubordinate Jockey: Ryan Hurdle Trainer: Chris Calthorpe J: Ryan Hurdle T: Chris Calthorpe	80	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after 16 months got back early 7th of 11 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on March 9 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind Transporter with 127lbs at $51. Previously second-up 6th of 9 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on October 10 2024 over 5f, 7 len behind Bella Cinque carrying 127lbs at $151. Nicely placed and expected to go well.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.