AU - Ballarat Synthetic - Race 9

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Synthetic

GOOD

19.1K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

PRINCEOFNOTTINGHAM (1) has plenty of weight but is the obvious danger. Took out a BM66 here at this trip two back then struggled on a heavy track in town last time. Loves racing here and looks sure to be right there at the business end. PRINCESS SAKIKO (5) was in the money first-up over 6f at this track then struggled to make ground over 7f at Sale most recently. Lightly raced mare who strips fitter and should improve on that last performance. REAL ALLIANCE (4) has struggled all prep but is good enough on her day. One for the exotics in a thin race. TAKEMETOTHEMOON (2) didn't fire at their only run last time in but can run well fresh here on best form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Dual acceptor. Last start raced on the pace before fading 8th of 12 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 on July 15 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Komito carrying 129lbs at $14. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at this track Bm66 June 24 over 7 ½f defeating Comic Hero with 136lbs at $3.70. Good enough to bounce back to the winner's list in a race like this. 1st Pick 1 Princeofnottingham Jockey: Nadia Daniels Trainer: Michelle Payne J: Nadia Daniels T: Michelle Payne	239	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Last start raced on the pace before fading 8th of 12 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 on July 15 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Komito carrying 129lbs at $14. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at this track Bm66 June 24 over 7 ½f defeating Comic Hero with 136lbs at $3.70. Good enough to bounce back to the winner's list in a race like this.
5	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up eased back early on 3rd in a small field at this track Cl1 on July 12 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Salizou with 125lbs at $6. Second run from a spell 5th of 14 at Sale Bm62 on July 26 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Princing with 127lbs at $10. Must come into consideration over this slightly longer journey. 2nd Pick 5 Princess Sakiko Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Jack Hill T: Shane Jackson	99	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up eased back early on 3rd in a small field at this track Cl1 on July 12 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Salizou with 125lbs at $6. Second run from a spell 5th of 14 at Sale Bm62 on July 26 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Princing with 127lbs at $10. Must come into consideration over this slightly longer journey.
4	Dual acceptor. Most recently ran second last of 9 at Cranbourne Bm62 on July 16 over 1m, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Tight Grip carrying 132lbs at $12. Before that ran last of 10 at Cranbourne Bm62 on June 21 over 1m, on a slow track, 8 len behind Omnic with 128lbs at $21. Not going well but might surprise in a race that lacks depth. 3rd Pick 4 Real Alliance Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Luke Oliver J: Brad Rawiller T: Luke Oliver	87	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Most recently ran second last of 9 at Cranbourne Bm62 on July 16 over 1m, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Tight Grip carrying 132lbs at $12. Before that ran last of 10 at Cranbourne Bm62 on June 21 over 1m, on a slow track, 8 len behind Omnic with 128lbs at $21. Not going well but might surprise in a race that lacks depth.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.