AU - Ballarat Synthetic - Race 5

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Synthetic

GOOD

15.4K

VIEW

Verdict

BARRYFROM BRUNZWIK (3) never got into the contest after settling near the tail at Donald and was unable to make significant inroads in the run home. He will find this much easier, and the extra 1f is exactly what he needs now. Stick with him on top here. BLACKLIP (4) was disappointing at Kilmore after scoring impressively at Wodonga fresh up by a head on a good track. He is worth another chance on the more consistent poly surface here. MISS TRUSTFUL (7) found the task too difficult at Kilmore after drifting well back in the field from a wide gate. She may also be looking for some better track conditions, so the poly track here could make all the difference. Each way. BRULLEN (5) will find this easier than his last start, and he is another top 4 hope in a field with many chances.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Most recently eased back early on 6th of 8 at Donald Bm66 on June 9 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Come Along Jeffrey carrying 127lbs at $7. The race before that 7th of 11 at Ballarat Cl1 on April 30 over 6f, 4 len behind Buzitup with 131lbs at $5. Finds a nice race and is among the winning hopes. 1st Pick 3 Barryfrom Brunzwik Jockey: Ryan Hurdle Trainer: Robert Hickmott J: Ryan Hurdle T: Robert Hickmott	114	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Most recently eased back early on 6th of 8 at Donald Bm66 on June 9 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Come Along Jeffrey carrying 127lbs at $7. The race before that 7th of 11 at Ballarat Cl1 on April 30 over 6f, 4 len behind Buzitup with 131lbs at $5. Finds a nice race and is among the winning hopes.
4	Third-up today. Resuming won by a neck at Wodonga Mdn-Sw May 16 over 6 ½f defeating Triumvirate carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Last start 8th of 10 at Kilmore Bm56 on June 1 over 7 ¼f, in the wet, 12 len behind Moonbolt with 136lbs at $7. Rated well, has definite claims this start. 2nd Pick 4 Blacklip Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Nick Ryan J: John Allen T: Nick Ryan	138	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming won by a neck at Wodonga Mdn-Sw May 16 over 6 ½f defeating Triumvirate carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Last start 8th of 10 at Kilmore Bm56 on June 1 over 7 ¼f, in the wet, 12 len behind Moonbolt with 136lbs at $7. Rated well, has definite claims this start.
7	Returns from a 37-day let-up. At the latest run ran second last of 8 at Kilmore Bm56 on May 15 over 7 ¼f, slow going 10 len behind Short Reply with 133lbs at $14. The race before that did the work up front then tired 6th of 9 at Kyneton Bm56 on April 23 over 7f, 3 len behind License To Excite with 126lbs at $6. Nicely placed and is sure to run well. 3rd Pick 7 Miss Trustful Jockey: Cian Macredmond Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Cian Macredmond T: Ciaron Maher	101	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Returns from a 37-day let-up. At the latest run ran second last of 8 at Kilmore Bm56 on May 15 over 7 ¼f, slow going 10 len behind Short Reply with 133lbs at $14. The race before that did the work up front then tired 6th of 9 at Kyneton Bm56 on April 23 over 7f, 3 len behind License To Excite with 126lbs at $6. Nicely placed and is sure to run well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.