AU - Ballarat Synthetic - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

10.4f

Maiden

Synthetic

GOOD

22.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

LE PLUS RAPIDE (6) has just found one better at his past couple but a win looks close. He went down a head here over 1 ?m last start and a repeat will see him very hard to beat in a fairly thin affair. EYE TRACKER (10) is a lightly raced mare for the Shane Jackson yard who steps up in trip off a sound run at Swan Hill over 1m. She should be an improver up to a staying trip. FIGHT LIKE A RAVEN (2) was even on debut despite being beaten a long way, he can improve sharply off that. PRECIOUSMORE (11) has been freshened with a month between runs after a poor performance at Donald. Wary of sharp improvement.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Racing well recently. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 27 over 1m, head behind Wolfoffitroystreet carrying 131lbs at $7.50. The start before that 2nd in a small field at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on July 23 over 1 ¹/16m, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Needlestick carrying 131lbs at $16. Hard to beat. 1st Pick 6 Le Plus Rapide Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Ann-Jeanette Tindale J: Teo Nugent T: Ann-Jeanette Tindale	148	-	-	-	58%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 27 over 1m, head behind Wolfoffitroystreet carrying 131lbs at $7.50. The start before that 2nd in a small field at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on July 23 over 1 ¹/16m, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Needlestick carrying 131lbs at $16. Hard to beat.
9	Last start ran second last of 8 at this track on August 9 over 1 5/16m, 23 len behind Ate Iron carrying 131lbs at $3.90. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Moe Mdn-Sw on July 21 over 1m, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Ngongotaha carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Can do much better. 2nd Pick 9 The Decembrist Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: John Mcardle J: Non Runner T: John Mcardle	117	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start ran second last of 8 at this track on August 9 over 1 5/16m, 23 len behind Ate Iron carrying 131lbs at $3.90. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Moe Mdn-Sw on July 21 over 1m, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Ngongotaha carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Can do much better.
10	Last start 6th of 11 at Swan Hill Mdn-Sw on July 28 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Wazza carrying 127lbs at $31. The run before that 5th of 10 at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 22 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Dr Davinci carrying 127lbs at $10. Sets up well and should take beating. 3rd Pick 10 Eye Tracker Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Shane Jackson J: John Allen T: Shane Jackson	112	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Last start 6th of 11 at Swan Hill Mdn-Sw on July 28 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Wazza carrying 127lbs at $31. The run before that 5th of 10 at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 22 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Dr Davinci carrying 127lbs at $10. Sets up well and should take beating.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.