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57 Min Till Start

AU - Bairnsdale - Race 7

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
14.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BOSSY STAR (1) has been okay in two runs back from a spell, getting into a narrow fourth last time at Kilmore. Should be ready to fire now and has the peaks to take care of these in what looks a very winnable affair, go close. I'M DYNAMITE (18) is coming off a win at Werribee in a 0-56, the fourth of his career. This is ever so slightly harder but not by much and he's been racing consistently. Right in this. JESSUP (11) struggled last time at Mornington in a deeper race but had been going well prior, the second placing at Kilmore two back reading very well for this. Strong chance on speed. sunset beauty (16) is going okay without winning and should be running on into the finish.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Magnardo silk

On a eight run winning streak. Comes off a 45 day let-up. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at Mornington Bm56 April 28 over 6f defeating Koolatah Queen carrying 125lbs at $2.90. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Mornington Bm56 April 5 over 6f defeating Brullen carrying 125lbs at $2.40. Can keep the ball rolling despite a wide gate.

1st Pick
6

Magnardo

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Reece Goodwin

J: Non Runner

T: Reece Goodwin

169---1%

Scratched

Analysis

On a eight run winning streak. Comes off a 45 day let-up. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at Mornington Bm56 April 28 over 6f defeating Koolatah Queen carrying 125lbs at $2.90. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Mornington Bm56 April 5 over 6f defeating Brullen carrying 125lbs at $2.40. Can keep the ball rolling despite a wide gate.

1
Bossy Star silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 8th of 11 at Sale Bm62 on May 17 over 6f, 4 len behind Flying Mikki with 132lbs at $14. Second-up 4th of 11 at Kilmore Bm56 on June 1 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 0.5 len behind Triple Triple with 137lbs at $4.40. Peaks now and will take holding out.

2nd Pick
1

Bossy Star

Jockey: Dylan Dunn

Trainer: Matt Laurie

J: Dylan Dunn

T: Matt Laurie

179---35%15/8

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 8th of 11 at Sale Bm62 on May 17 over 6f, 4 len behind Flying Mikki with 132lbs at $14. Second-up 4th of 11 at Kilmore Bm56 on June 1 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 0.5 len behind Triple Triple with 137lbs at $4.40. Peaks now and will take holding out.

13
Written Story silk

Form hard to fault. Comes off a 56 day let-up. Most recently 4th of 9 at Cranbourne F&M Bm62 on April 17 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Beautifully carrying 130lbs at $13. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.5 len at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw April 3 over 7f defeating Blue Light Disco with 127lbs at $6. Sets up nicely here, big chance.

3rd Pick
13

Written Story

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Clayton Douglas

J: Non Runner

T: Clayton Douglas

90---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Comes off a 56 day let-up. Most recently 4th of 9 at Cranbourne F&M Bm62 on April 17 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Beautifully carrying 130lbs at $13. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.5 len at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw April 3 over 7f defeating Blue Light Disco with 127lbs at $6. Sets up nicely here, big chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.