AU - Bairnsdale - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.6K

VIEW

Verdict

ALPINOVA (11) has been mixing her form, and has also not won for some time, but she meets the right sort of field here, and returning to her pet trip, can bring about a better effort in this. On top for us. ELLY DEE (7) is a durable veteran mare who raced her way into form with a solid effort for third at Geelong last time out. She has a superior draw this time, and will only improve again with more racing. Stick with her. TANANA (9) will be peaking at the right time for this, and he last couple of starts at Moe have been solid enough on heavy tracks. A firmer surface would help her, and she can take this out. PUNIC WAR (3) is getting fitter with each run back from a spell, and he is nicely placed to figure in the top 4 here, in what looks like a very even contest. MONT SAINT MICHEL (2) has winning form here over the distance, and he drops down in class from his last start for seventh at Mornington 16 days ago. Can win.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	1 Pull My Finger Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: Amy & Ash Yargi J: Craig Newitt T: Amy & Ash Yargi	161	-	-	-	23%
2	2 Mont Saint Michel Jockey: Jackie Beriman Trainer: Paul & Tracey Templeton J: Jackie Beriman T: Paul & Tracey Templeton	128	-	-	-	17%
3	3 Punic War Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Dean Williams J: Jake Noonan T: Dean Williams	89	-	-	-	10%
4	4 A Penny Spent Jockey: Sam Kennedy Trainer: Heather Stephens J: Sam Kennedy T: Heather Stephens	127	-	-	-	10%
5	5 Mordialloc Beach Jockey: Jason Maskiell Trainer: Wendy Kelly J: Jason Maskiell T: Wendy Kelly	67	-	-	-	10%
6	6 Ze Bee Nine Jockey: Adam Mccabe Trainer: Catherine Martindale J: Adam Mccabe T: Catherine Martindale	66	-	-	-	15%
7	2nd Pick 7 Elly Dee Jockey: Mitchell Aitken Trainer: Troy Kilgower J: Mitchell Aitken T: Troy Kilgower	115	-	-	-	12%
8	8 Maharani Miss Jockey: Valentin Le Boeuf Trainer: Susie Wells J: Valentin Le Boeuf T: Susie Wells	55	-	-	-	2%
9	3rd Pick 9 Tanana Jockey: Aaron Sweeney Trainer: Rebecca Kelly J: Aaron Sweeney T: Rebecca Kelly	80	-	-	-	4%
10	10 Alesund Jockey: Sheridan Clarke Trainer: Rebecca Kelly J: Sheridan Clarke T: Rebecca Kelly	62	-	-	-	4%
11	1st Pick 11 Alpinova Jockey: Melea Castle Trainer: Brooke Verwey-Mitchell J: Melea Castle T: Brooke Verwey-Mitchell	84	-	-	-	17%
12	12 Nicking Gracie Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Robert Palm J: Teo Nugent T: Robert Palm	74	-	-	-	13%

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.