AU - Bairnsdale - Race 3

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

14.1K

VIEW

Verdict

DEMPSEY (2) is an eight-start maiden who looks close to breaking the duck after finishing in the placings at his last couple of runs at Kilmore. This looks very thin and he only needs to hold his form to go awfully close. COLOUR CIRCLE (1) struggled to finish 7 lengths from the winner in sixth over 1m at Pakenham last start but had been solid at Moe prior and can be hitting the line. CRUSH PUPPY (11) struggled over 1 ¼m at Stawell last start but had been solid prior and can improve in a winnable race. LOMENIE (12) has been okay in two runs back and will find this easier than a good fifth at Bendigo second up, expect she takes holding out.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Form hard to fault. Last start crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 3rd of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind It Matters carrying 131lbs at $16. The race before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Don't Doubt Dare with 131lbs at $15. Well placed. Will find less depth here, takes beating. 1st Pick 2 Dempsey Jockey: Valentin Le Boeuf Trainer: Ernie Francese J: Valentin Le Boeuf T: Ernie Francese	102	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 3rd of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind It Matters carrying 131lbs at $16. The race before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Don't Doubt Dare with 131lbs at $15. Well placed. Will find less depth here, takes beating.
1	Last start settled back and ran on when 6th of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Outdrive carrying 131lbs at $8. The start before that 5th of 10 at Moe Mdn-Sw on April 25 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Set Me Free carrying 131lbs at $3.20. Suited this level, go close. 2nd Pick 1 Colour Circle Jockey: Bailey Kinninmont Trainer: Brian Mcgrath J: Bailey Kinninmont T: Brian Mcgrath	104	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Last start settled back and ran on when 6th of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Outdrive carrying 131lbs at $8. The start before that 5th of 10 at Moe Mdn-Sw on April 25 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Set Me Free carrying 131lbs at $3.20. Suited this level, go close.
20	Resuming after a six-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation fifth of 9 at Geelong 3yo F Mdn-Sw November 26 over 7f, 9 len behind Venetian Choice with 126lbs at $13. On debut ninth of 11 at Mornington Mdn-Sw October 23 over 6f, soft track, 8 len behind Rosa Aotearoa carrying 119lbs at $12. Can improve this time around. 3rd Pick 20 Queen Victorious Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Richard Laming J: Non Runner T: Richard Laming	104	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Resuming after a six-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation fifth of 9 at Geelong 3yo F Mdn-Sw November 26 over 7f, 9 len behind Venetian Choice with 126lbs at $13. On debut ninth of 11 at Mornington Mdn-Sw October 23 over 6f, soft track, 8 len behind Rosa Aotearoa carrying 119lbs at $12. Can improve this time around.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.