AU - Bairnsdale - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

14.1K

VIEW

Verdict

NEOTROPICAL (12) finds an ideal race second up, having run well as favourite first up at Mornington, sticking on for third. This looks fairly thin and she maps for every chance against the older horses. Go close, especially with dangers scratching this morning. DIAMOND MILA (2) ran well enough fresh at Moe and is open to improvement off that having gotten through the heavy ground. Expect he comes on and figures in the finish. PENINSULA ROSE (9) should peak now and can give a sight up on speed from a low draw while INABLISS (5) ran well at big odds fresh at Pakenham on heavy and is a chance if she can go on with it.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Second-up. First-up after five months rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 8 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on May 25 over 5f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Tassorting carrying 122lbs at $2.05. Previously second-up 5th of 10 at Cranbourne 2yo Hcp on December 27 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Guest House with 121lbs at $20. Very well placed and should be too slick. 1st Pick 12 Neotropical Jockey: Olivia East Trainer: John Mcardle J: Olivia East T: John Mcardle	157	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 8 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on May 25 over 5f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Tassorting carrying 122lbs at $2.05. Previously second-up 5th of 10 at Cranbourne 2yo Hcp on December 27 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Guest House with 121lbs at $20. Very well placed and should be too slick.
11	Raced two times to date. At debut, second last of 11 at Pakenham 2yo F Mdn-Sw on April 9 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Wonderful Sky carrying 126lbs at $9. Second-up 4th of 8 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on May 25 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Tassorting carrying 121lbs at $6. Heading the right way and has claims. 2nd Pick 11 Caption This Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: John Mcardle J: Non Runner T: John Mcardle	110	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Raced two times to date. At debut, second last of 11 at Pakenham 2yo F Mdn-Sw on April 9 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Wonderful Sky carrying 126lbs at $9. Second-up 4th of 8 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on May 25 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Tassorting carrying 121lbs at $6. Heading the right way and has claims.
6	Third-up today. Resuming held ground to the line 3rd of 9 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 4 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Miss Deceiver with 128lbs at $4.40. Second-up from last on the turn 5th of 9 at Moe Mdn-Sw on May 28 over 5f, on a wet track, 2.5 len behind Apres with 127lbs at $13. Capable of a better showing. In with winning claims. 3rd Pick 6 Jasmina Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Steven Noble J: Non Runner T: Steven Noble	76	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming held ground to the line 3rd of 9 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 4 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Miss Deceiver with 128lbs at $4.40. Second-up from last on the turn 5th of 9 at Moe Mdn-Sw on May 28 over 5f, on a wet track, 2.5 len behind Apres with 127lbs at $13. Capable of a better showing. In with winning claims.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.