AU - Ararat - Race 7

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough. THE MARINER (4) has had one blip in a string of threatening efforts. He will skip over and control the race and deserves another chance. SNAPPY TYCOON (1) has an awkward gate to contend with but will find this easier than Werribee last time. He raced favourite in a 62 at Kerang prior and lost the use of his offside rein at the business end when in a positive position. Chance to make amends. LUNA FIELD (3) is capable enough on her day and has the tongue tie applied for the first time. Will position forward and keep onside. RAGING MONKEY (10) may be the best of the remainder.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	At the latest run 11th of 13 at Kyneton 0 - 56 on January 31 over 6f, 6 len behind Turnaquid carrying 119lbs at $13. Before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Stawell 0-56 on January 4 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Southern Crescent with 123lbs at $26. Capable of sharp improvement. 1st Pick 9 Little Sandy Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Helen Burns J: Non Runner T: Helen Burns	112	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis At the latest run 11th of 13 at Kyneton 0 - 56 on January 31 over 6f, 6 len behind Turnaquid carrying 119lbs at $13. Before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Stawell 0-56 on January 4 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Southern Crescent with 123lbs at $26. Capable of sharp improvement.
4	Most recently 5th of 8 at Great Western 0 - 56 on January 24 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Wild Irish Rover with 125lbs at $11. The race before that 5th of 10 at Colac Bm56 on January 6 over 6f, 5 len behind Mont Saint Michel with 126lbs at $16. Finds a suitable race and should be right in it. 2nd Pick 4 The Mariner Jockey: Eoin Walsh Trainer: Stephen Lenehan J: Eoin Walsh T: Stephen Lenehan	185	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 8 at Great Western 0 - 56 on January 24 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Wild Irish Rover with 125lbs at $11. The race before that 5th of 10 at Colac Bm56 on January 6 over 6f, 5 len behind Mont Saint Michel with 126lbs at $16. Finds a suitable race and should be right in it.
1	Last start 5th of 7 at Werribee Bm56 on January 12 over 5f, 4 len behind Frose carrying 133lbs at $5.50. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Kerang Bm62 on December 27 over 5 ½f, 2.75 len behind Surprisatic with 127lbs at $4.20. Among the better hopes. 3rd Pick 1 Snappy Tycoon Jockey: Jason Maskiell Trainer: Danielle Chapman J: Jason Maskiell T: Danielle Chapman	128	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Last start 5th of 7 at Werribee Bm56 on January 12 over 5f, 4 len behind Frose carrying 133lbs at $5.50. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Kerang Bm62 on December 27 over 5 ½f, 2.75 len behind Surprisatic with 127lbs at $4.20. Among the better hopes.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.