AU - Ararat - Race 6

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

21.0K

VIEW

Verdict

FRONTLINE ACTION (4) won over a mile at Tatura first up as a $2.3F and will improve quickly off the Flemington outing following. Needs this trip and has raced well in much tougher metro company. In a smart barn and this is a winnable assignment. BON FETE (7) has improved his numbers since his win over 1 5/16m in a 66 at Sandown. Just missed at Pakenham last time and Yendall will give him every chance from the handy barrier. EARLY WARNING (9) was quickly back on track beaten 1L at Morphettville over 1 ¼m in a 64. Kersley rides and he'll be in the finish holding that form. Stablemate SURFY PETE (10) ran a competitive figure in a 78 at Mt Gambier two weeks ago. Maps for the run of the race and he always puts in. DARTBOARD (2) is going well enough to consider.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up came from midfield and won by a neck at Tatura Bm62 December 14 over 1m defeating Aka Daka with 134lbs at $2.30. Second run from a spell 5th of 15 at Flemington Bm70 on January 17 over 1m, 4 len behind Fiorenot with 126lbs at $15. Suited and will be tough to roll. 1st Pick 4 Frontline Action Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Patrick & Michelle Payne J: Will Gordon T: Patrick & Michelle Payne	142	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up came from midfield and won by a neck at Tatura Bm62 December 14 over 1m defeating Aka Daka with 134lbs at $2.30. Second run from a spell 5th of 15 at Flemington Bm70 on January 17 over 1m, 4 len behind Fiorenot with 126lbs at $15. Suited and will be tough to roll.
7	At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Pakenham F&M Bm70 on January 23 over 1 ¼m, 1.3 len behind I Only Wish carrying 127lbs at $5.50. Before that eased back early on 6th of 9 at Flemington F&M Bm78 on January 10 over 1m, 4 len behind Tarvue carrying 119lbs at $20. Making headway. Nice effort last time and worth following up. 2nd Pick 7 Bon Fete Jockey: Dean Yendall Trainer: Jason Warren J: Dean Yendall T: Jason Warren	114	-	-	-	36%
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Pakenham F&M Bm70 on January 23 over 1 ¼m, 1.3 len behind I Only Wish carrying 127lbs at $5.50. Before that eased back early on 6th of 9 at Flemington F&M Bm78 on January 10 over 1m, 4 len behind Tarvue carrying 119lbs at $20. Making headway. Nice effort last time and worth following up.
9	At the latest run 4th of 13 at Morphettville 0-64 on January 31 over 1 ¼m, 1.0 len behind Back Me Up Benny carrying 128lbs at $17. Before that ran last of 10 at Camperdown Camp Cup on January 17 over 1m, 6 len behind Mister Me with 119lbs at $51. Can improve here and is a top-three contender. 3rd Pick 9 Early Warning Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Paul Preusker J: Fred W Kersley T: Paul Preusker	117	-	-	-	7%
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 13 at Morphettville 0-64 on January 31 over 1 ¼m, 1.0 len behind Back Me Up Benny carrying 128lbs at $17. Before that ran last of 10 at Camperdown Camp Cup on January 17 over 1m, 6 len behind Mister Me with 119lbs at $51. Can improve here and is a top-three contender.

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