AU - Ararat - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.4K

VIEW

Verdict

BLUE ENSIGN (6) stepped up to this trip 22 days ago at Camperdown and was claimed late. He has jumped out well at Flemington since and draws handy today. He has more to give and can win. FINANCE MERCHANT (7) resumed at Mt Gambier over 1412 and just missed. he won't have to improve much to make the finish and count on Linda to manage the awkward gate. SEA WARNING (4) was 2.7 lengths from the winner over 7f at Werribee last time, following a minor placing at Stony Creek on debut. Needs a good ride but is well placed to feature. STOLEN STOCK (5) showed enough placing this trip at Penola to consider. ZULEIKA (12) will be fitter and has plenty of scope for improvement.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Third-up today. First-up 5th of 10 at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 7f, 7 len behind Sass Appeal carrying 128lbs at $61. Last start 4th of 11 at Camperdown Mdn-Sw on January 17 over 1m, 3 len behind Almago carrying 128lbs at $2.45. Best form stacks up nicely. 1st Pick 6 Blue Ensign Jockey: Eoin Walsh Trainer: Steve Richards J: Eoin Walsh T: Steve Richards	102	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 5th of 10 at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 7f, 7 len behind Sass Appeal carrying 128lbs at $61. Last start 4th of 11 at Camperdown Mdn-Sw on January 17 over 1m, 3 len behind Almago carrying 128lbs at $2.45. Best form stacks up nicely.
7	Third race start. Promising on debut 4th of 12 at Coleraine Mdn-Sw on September 26 over 7f, 4 len behind Mr George carrying 126lbs at $12. Returned from break 3rd of 9 at Mt Gambier 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on January 25 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Ottelia carrying 125lbs at $4. Hard to beat. 2nd Pick 7 Finance Merchant Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Aaron Purcell J: Linda Meech T: Aaron Purcell	165	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third race start. Promising on debut 4th of 12 at Coleraine Mdn-Sw on September 26 over 7f, 4 len behind Mr George carrying 126lbs at $12. Returned from break 3rd of 9 at Mt Gambier 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on January 25 over 7f, 0.6 len behind Ottelia carrying 125lbs at $4. Hard to beat.
4	Lining up for just third start. At debut, ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw on January 18 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind O'mosa carrying 131lbs at $19. Second-up 4th of 12 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on February 1 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Frogs carrying 131lbs at $15. Has improvement to come and is one of the leading chances. 3rd Pick 4 Sea Warning Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Trevor Rogers J: Will Gordon T: Trevor Rogers	102	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Lining up for just third start. At debut, ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw on January 18 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind O'mosa carrying 131lbs at $19. Second-up 4th of 12 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on February 1 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Frogs carrying 131lbs at $15. Has improvement to come and is one of the leading chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.