AU - Ararat - Race 2

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.4K

VIEW

Verdict

MUSKITO (7) debuts for a top metro barn and has looked talented in a string of jumpouts. Maps well and Yendall rides. A bold run is on the cards. PAFITIS (8) looked a run short improving as favourite at Cranbourne and he has more to give. Was tried at Group level before the spell so the premier barn must have an opinion. Stablemate CUTTIN' CLASS (4) spiked his numbers placing at Geelong and hits this at peak fitness. Has the inside gate and he is well placed with the 9lbs claim. PICK WISELY (3) displayed decent ability last prep and has to be included in his return.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Gelding by Savabeel making his first appearance. Won trial at Caulfield Heath over 5f on January 29. A bold run is on the cards. 1st Pick 7 Muskito Jockey: Dean Yendall Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Dean Yendall T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	46	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Gelding by Savabeel making his first appearance. Won trial at Caulfield Heath over 5f on January 29. A bold run is on the cards.
8	Third-up today. First-up held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on January 3 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Layla with 128lbs at $3.30. Second run from a spell 5th of 9 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 22 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Nostro Roccia with 128lbs at $3.10. Capable of a better showing. Great chance to atone. 2nd Pick 8 Pafitis Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Teo Nugent T: Ciaron Maher	132	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on January 3 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Layla with 128lbs at $3.30. Second run from a spell 5th of 9 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 22 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Nostro Roccia with 128lbs at $3.10. Capable of a better showing. Great chance to atone.
4	At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on January 26 over 7 ¼f, 2.75 len behind Veyepee carrying 128lbs at $5.50. The run before that 5th of 11 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on January 10 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Valedictorian carrying 128lbs at $6. Has claims. 3rd Pick 4 Cuttin' Class Jockey: Zac Moore Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Zac Moore T: Ciaron Maher	145	-	-	-	19%
Analysis At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on January 26 over 7 ¼f, 2.75 len behind Veyepee carrying 128lbs at $5.50. The run before that 5th of 11 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on January 10 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Valedictorian carrying 128lbs at $6. Has claims.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.