NZ - Ruakaka - Race 5

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

20.5K

VIEW

Verdict

MISS SETH (9) saves her best for her home track, and followed up her upset win here 2 starts back with a fast finishing third as the favourite a fortnight ago on this track. The extra 1 ½f is the key here, and she will again be hard to hold out. MERRIAMA (8) showed a quick turn of foot when scoring her maiden win here 2 weeks ago over this trip. She has more than 3 lengths to spare over her rivals that day, and she could well be good enough to take the next step immediately. JURISPRUDENCE (2) is a very consistent type who has been thereabouts through the winter. A former surface on this course seems to suit him, and he should be right the finish again. SUGAR DADDY (3) kept up a strong gallop when finishing second behind a runaway winner at Te Rapa 3 weeks ago. He is a progressive gelding who should figure in the top 4 here. PACT (10) built her form strongly to score here by half a length 4 weeks ago. That was her first run on a good track, and she can go on with the job.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at this track on August 1 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Rotten Tommy carrying 126lbs at $4.50. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 2.25 len at this track on July 18 over 7f defeating Chicago Dream with 120lbs at $27.80. Hard to beat on her best form. 1st Pick 9 Miss Seth Jockey: Ashlee Strawbridge Trainer: Kenny Rae J: Ashlee Strawbridge T: Kenny Rae	94	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at this track on August 1 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Rotten Tommy carrying 126lbs at $4.50. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 2.25 len at this track on July 18 over 7f defeating Chicago Dream with 120lbs at $27.80. Hard to beat on her best form.
8	Recent form sound. Last start won by 3 len at this track on August 1 over 1m in soft going defeating Escape Room carrying 125lbs at $3.10. The run before that 4th of 14 at this track on July 18 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Pact carrying 125lbs at $4.20. Draws well and another big run is in store. 2nd Pick 8 Merriama Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Kylie Hoskin J: Michael Mcnab T: Kylie Hoskin	80	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start won by 3 len at this track on August 1 over 1m in soft going defeating Escape Room carrying 125lbs at $3.10. The run before that 4th of 14 at this track on July 18 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Pact carrying 125lbs at $4.20. Draws well and another big run is in store.
2	Last start 3rd of 12 at this track on July 18 over 7f, 3 len behind Miss Seth carrying 121lbs at $11. The run before that 6th of 14 at Ellerslie on May 23 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind I Park carrying 131lbs at $11. Capable enough on his day and is a key runner. 3rd Pick 2 Jurisprudence Jockey: Abhay Seesa Trainer: Danny Walker & Arron Tata J: Abhay Seesa T: Danny Walker & Arron Tata	100	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Last start 3rd of 12 at this track on July 18 over 7f, 3 len behind Miss Seth carrying 121lbs at $11. The run before that 6th of 14 at Ellerslie on May 23 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind I Park carrying 131lbs at $11. Capable enough on his day and is a key runner.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.