NZ - Ruakaka - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

20.5K

VIEW

Verdict

BOURBON PROOF (2) has improved his form in his last couple of starts on his home track, and he looks to be perfectly placed this time after a 4lbs claim. He has a good gate, and deserves to go one better. HEZASHOCKA (1) trekked through and ran his best race in some time when finishing second at Ellerslie 8 weeks ago over 1 5/16m. He cops a big weight rise with the drop in class here, but he did trial up nicely here at the start of the month. Stick with him. SOLIDIFY (3) dropped into this grade here 2 weeks ago and was a tad plain when finishing sixth. He is better than that, and we will give him one more chance. LOCH KATRINE (5) is probably looking for wet ground, but she has been placed on this course in the past. She won't lack fitness, and is worth including in all top 4 combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Racing well recently. At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at this track on August 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Perfectmanz with 131lbs at $3. The start before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 at this track on July 11 over 1m, on a slow track, nose behind What A Yarn with 130lbs at $5.50. One of the major hopes. 1st Pick 2 Bourbon Proof Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Michelle Bradley J: Jack Taplin T: Michelle Bradley	128	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at this track on August 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Perfectmanz with 131lbs at $3. The start before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 at this track on July 11 over 1m, on a slow track, nose behind What A Yarn with 130lbs at $5.50. One of the major hopes.
1	Comes off a 56 day let-up. Most recently ran on from midfield, 2nd of 13 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Boxmoss with 119lbs at $20.30. Before that 6th of 12 at Ellerslie on June 6 over 1 5/16m, slow going 7 len behind Fly My Wey with 120lbs at $17.70. One of the leading chances. 2nd Pick 1 Hezashocka Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: Sam Mcnab T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	153	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Comes off a 56 day let-up. Most recently ran on from midfield, 2nd of 13 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Boxmoss with 119lbs at $20.30. Before that 6th of 12 at Ellerslie on June 6 over 1 5/16m, slow going 7 len behind Fly My Wey with 120lbs at $17.70. One of the leading chances.
3	Last start 6th of 9 at this track on August 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Perfectmanz carrying 134lbs at $9.30. The start before that sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 8 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1m, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Astoria Brooke carrying 119lbs at $5.80. Can improve again. Key runner in this line-up and expected to feature if finds best form. 3rd Pick 3 Solidify Jockey: Kyle Wilson-Taylor Trainer: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor T: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale	107	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Last start 6th of 9 at this track on August 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Perfectmanz carrying 134lbs at $9.30. The start before that sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 8 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1m, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Astoria Brooke carrying 119lbs at $5.80. Can improve again. Key runner in this line-up and expected to feature if finds best form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.