NZ - Riccarton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

12.9f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

36.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

SUAVETTA (11) up to 1 ?m for her last two starts and had no luck when probing for a run from 2nd last Oct 10 then charged home off a similar run for a head 3rd and ran right through the line. Take beating here. DUPUG (3) was eased back from the outside gate and made ground well in an on-pace dominated race over 1 5/16m at Otaki last start. Expect the extra distance and big track to suit here. SECRET WISH (6) had no luck in this race last year when caught wide from a wide draw so pressed on to sit outside the leader and weakened. Stronger this year. TETBURY (7) was held up soon after straightening but got very close over 1 ?m at Ashburton then was caught wide without cover here last time. Keep safe. ILLUSIONIST (1) put in a charging run from near last for a close 2nd here then no luck when wide early and fought well at Wingatui. Worth thought here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Ashburton on October 18 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.1 len behind Honor Mission with 126lbs at $6.10. The race before that 5th of 14 at Ashburton on October 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Overheated carrying 120lbs at $9.90. Better placed and expected to measure up. 1st Pick 11 Suavetta Jockey: Leah Hemi Trainer: Andrew Carston J: Leah Hemi T: Andrew Carston	62	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Ashburton on October 18 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.1 len behind Honor Mission with 126lbs at $6.10. The race before that 5th of 14 at Ashburton on October 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Overheated carrying 120lbs at $9.90. Better placed and expected to measure up.
3	At the latest run 5th of 11 at Otaki on October 31 over 1 5/16m, 5 len behind Abeecee with 127lbs at $25.80. Before that 5th of 13 at Taupo on October 9 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Kuroko carrying 128lbs at $13.80. Finds a nice race this time and is expected to go very well. 2nd Pick 3 Dupug Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Kevin Myers J: Floor Moerman T: Kevin Myers	88	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 11 at Otaki on October 31 over 1 5/16m, 5 len behind Abeecee with 127lbs at $25.80. Before that 5th of 13 at Taupo on October 9 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Kuroko carrying 128lbs at $13.80. Finds a nice race this time and is expected to go very well.
6	Racing well recently. Most recently raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at Riverton on November 1 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Celestial Flame with 125lbs at $5.40. The race before that came from midfield and won by 2 len at Gore on October 16 over 1 ¼m on a heavy track defeating On The Rivet with 121lbs at $13.40. Finds a suitable race and should play a big role. 3rd Pick 6 Secret Wish Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Amber Hoffman J: Matt Cartwright T: Amber Hoffman	136	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at Riverton on November 1 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Celestial Flame with 125lbs at $5.40. The race before that came from midfield and won by 2 len at Gore on October 16 over 1 ¼m on a heavy track defeating On The Rivet with 121lbs at $13.40. Finds a suitable race and should play a big role.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.