NZ - Riccarton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

24 Runners

8.9f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

20.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

VALLEY KING (3) remained unbeaten on this course when winning easily here on the first day, and in doing so he made sure the bookmakers had a bad day such was the tsunami of money that came for him. He stays in the same grade, and should repeat the dose. BAK DE ACE (4) chased home the top pick in vain last time out, and cops a nasty draw this time. He is better off at the weights this time, but will still need to improve further to turn the tables. ROCA MILE (2) has held his form on the turf and poly tracks this year, and dropping back from 1 ?m to 1 ?m won't bother him. Top 4 claims again. ON SHAW (6) was running on late when finishing fourth against most of these last week, and the extra 1f is ideal for this lightly tried 6YO. Stick with him. PRETTY FLY (8) raced a lot handier to the pace at Wingatui nearly 6 weeks ago and lifted strongly to score by a neck. The blinkers have obviously helped him, and despite the gap between runs, he is still worth including in all combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, won by 2.25 len at this track August 1 over 1m in the wet defeating Bak De Ace with 126lbs at $3. The run before that 3rd of 8 at Woodville on July 12 over 1m, on heavy track, 4 len behind The Finnster with 147lbs at $3.60. Should prove hard to beat. 1st Pick 3 Valley King Jockey: Lily Sutherland Trainer: Kevin Myers J: Lily Sutherland T: Kevin Myers	161	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, won by 2.25 len at this track August 1 over 1m in the wet defeating Bak De Ace with 126lbs at $3. The run before that 3rd of 8 at Woodville on July 12 over 1m, on heavy track, 4 len behind The Finnster with 147lbs at $3.60. Should prove hard to beat.
4	Third-up today. Resuming scored a big 9 len win at Woodville July 12 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Early Times with 150lbs at $3. Second-up 2nd of 15 at this track on August 1 over 1m, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Valley King with 129lbs at $4.20. Can improve. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 4 Bak De Ace Jockey: Kelly Myers Trainer: Jo Rathbone J: Kelly Myers T: Jo Rathbone	115	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming scored a big 9 len win at Woodville July 12 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Early Times with 150lbs at $3. Second-up 2nd of 15 at this track on August 1 over 1m, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Valley King with 129lbs at $4.20. Can improve. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.
2	Form hard to fault. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on July 23 over 1m, 0.3 len behind Wren with 128lbs at $3.40. Before that came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Ashburton on July 2 over 1m, on rain affected going, nose behind Flamboyance carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Has top 4 claims. 3rd Pick 2 Roca Mile Jockey: Daniel Bothamley Trainer: Richard Didham J: Daniel Bothamley T: Richard Didham	104	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on July 23 over 1m, 0.3 len behind Wren with 128lbs at $3.40. Before that came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Ashburton on July 2 over 1m, on rain affected going, nose behind Flamboyance carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Has top 4 claims.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.