NZ - Riccarton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Unknown

Turf

HEAVY 9

56.1K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

OUT OF THE BLUE (1) freshened after getting back and struggling to get into the LR Wanganui Guineas in August. Ran on well under his own steam from well back in a trial October 29. Yet to taste defeat in 2 starts here. DOING TIME (2) had strong support but was as green as grass on debut at Wintagui last week. Obviously has a motor as despite racing ungenerously he rounded them up easily. Still raw, but hopefully learning. MIDNIGHT OAK (9) bolted home for a 4L win at Timaru over 6f 2 starts back when let go from midfield. Up to 7f and G3 company when ran on OK after over-racing last time. Well placed here. DULCE CABALLO (8) showed a good turn of foot when weaving a run from midfield to score on debut here in September. Slow away and had no luck in the G3 over 7f last time. Better placed in this. OUTLAW (4) has led in both starts to date and found one better each time. Sword Of Stars was too good at Timaru then Settlement Day wore him down at Ascot Park narrowly. Can add value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation second last of 10 at Wanganui in the LR Wanganui Guineas August 29 over 6f, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Perfect Chaos carrying 126lbs at $7.20. When resuming last campaign fourth of 7 at Taupo August 16 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 1.0 len behind Fortunato carrying 128lbs at $4.90. Looks all set for a positive return. 1st Pick 1 Out Of The Blue Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Michael Mcnab T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	126	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation second last of 10 at Wanganui in the LR Wanganui Guineas August 29 over 6f, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Perfect Chaos carrying 126lbs at $7.20. When resuming last campaign fourth of 7 at Taupo August 16 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 1.0 len behind Fortunato carrying 128lbs at $4.90. Looks all set for a positive return.
2	At debut, won won by 1.0 len at Wingatui on November 3 over 6f on a soft track defeating Imperial Queen with 126lbs at $6.60. Open to plenty of improvement and another win is on the cards. 2nd Pick 2 Doing Time Jockey: Daniel Bothamley Trainer: Lee Callaway J: Daniel Bothamley T: Lee Callaway	73	-	-	-	12%
Analysis At debut, won won by 1.0 len at Wingatui on November 3 over 6f on a soft track defeating Imperial Queen with 126lbs at $6.60. Open to plenty of improvement and another win is on the cards.
9	Third-up today. First-up scored a big 4.5 len win at Phar Lap Racecourse on September 23 over 6f in soft going defeating Niccita with 119lbs at $6.10. Second run from a spell 5th of 13 in the G3 Barneswood Farm Stakes at Ashburton on October 10 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind Fraudster with 121lbs at $12.20. Capable of sharp improvement. 3rd Pick 9 Midnight Oak Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Robert Dennis J: Jack Taplin T: Robert Dennis	93	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up scored a big 4.5 len win at Phar Lap Racecourse on September 23 over 6f in soft going defeating Niccita with 119lbs at $6.10. Second run from a spell 5th of 13 in the G3 Barneswood Farm Stakes at Ashburton on October 10 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind Fraudster with 121lbs at $12.20. Capable of sharp improvement.

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A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

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A male horse that is four years of age or under.

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