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3:49 AM

NZ - Riccarton - Race 7

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
7f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
28.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

IRON HAWK (6) confirmed his promise that he showed last season when racing through the grades, by winning very impressively fresh up here a fortnight ago, storming home late to score by nearly a length. He cops an extra 7lbs here, but should still be the one to beat. SHAWSHANK (8) has taken his form to another level on heavy ground this year, and he made it 2 wins on the bounce with another all the way win here 4 weeks ago over 1m. He will again take some pegging back, especially if the track is wet again. DREAM OF THE MOON (11) raced well earlier in the year in the North Island, and she will appreciate racing on this circuit fresh up with all of her 3 career wins coming here. She has won a brace of trials at Ashburton to get ready for her return, and will be ready to rumble. SIR ALBERT (2) is as honest as they come when fit, and if he doesn't need the hit-out, he can figure in the top 4. STONYBRECK (3) resumes with a trial win under his belt, and he has won 3 of 6 fresh up. Watch.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Iron Hawk silk

Second run back. First-up after five months won by 0.9 len at this track on September 12 over 6f in heavy going defeating Miss Ziggy with 123lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up won by 0.9 len at this track on March 21 over 6f defeating Pizarro with 127lbs at $3. Has won second up in the past and is capable of building on that record.

1st Pick
6

Iron Hawk

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Lance Robinson

J: Non Runner

T: Lance Robinson

162---25%3/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months won by 0.9 len at this track on September 12 over 6f in heavy going defeating Miss Ziggy with 123lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up won by 0.9 len at this track on March 21 over 6f defeating Pizarro with 127lbs at $3. Has won second up in the past and is capable of building on that record.

8
Shawshank silk

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by 0.9 len at this track on August 29 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Shaking Stevens with 119lbs at $3.40. The race before that favourite, won by a 0.1 len at this track on August 8 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Belzoni carrying 119lbs at $7.10. Well placed. In great form and can go on with it.

2nd Pick
8

Shawshank

Jockey: Ace Lawson-Carroll

Trainer: Samantha Wynne

J: Ace Lawson-Carroll

T: Samantha Wynne

108---12%15/2

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by 0.9 len at this track on August 29 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Shaking Stevens with 119lbs at $3.40. The race before that favourite, won by a 0.1 len at this track on August 8 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Belzoni carrying 119lbs at $7.10. Well placed. In great form and can go on with it.

11
Dream Of The Moon silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign ninth of 14 at Ellerslie Rating 75 April 18 over 7f, soft track, 6 len behind Sweet Smile with 131lbs at $10.10. First up last campaign fourth of 11 at Ellerslie December 26 over 6f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Power Of Three with 129lbs at $12.10. Everything points to a positive return.

3rd Pick
11

Dream Of The Moon

Jockey: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

75---25%3/1

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign ninth of 14 at Ellerslie Rating 75 April 18 over 7f, soft track, 6 len behind Sweet Smile with 131lbs at $10.10. First up last campaign fourth of 11 at Ellerslie December 26 over 6f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Power Of Three with 129lbs at $12.10. Everything points to a positive return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.